Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a northwest flow are capping solar insolation and holding the Munich high near the 19.8 °C September climatological average. Ensemble guidance shows modest afternoon clearing possible under weak ridging, which supports the tight 21–22 °C clustering in trader prices; differences hinge on exact cloud-break timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point depression. Official DWD station readings will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 14?
21°C 47%
22°C 39%
20°C 11%
23°C 3%
$24,272 Vol.
$24,272 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
11%
21°C
47%
22°C
39%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 47%
22°C 39%
20°C 11%
23°C 3%
$24,272 Vol.
$24,272 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
11%
21°C
47%
22°C
39%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a northwest flow are capping solar insolation and holding the Munich high near the 19.8 °C September climatological average. Ensemble guidance shows modest afternoon clearing possible under weak ridging, which supports the tight 21–22 °C clustering in trader prices; differences hinge on exact cloud-break timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point depression. Official DWD station readings will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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