**Market-implied odds show traders closely divided between a 26°C and 25°C minimum in Karachi today, reflecting tight uncertainty around nocturnal cooling.** High daytime humidity near 75-80% combined with moderate west-southwest winds has limited radiative heat loss overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below seasonal norms of roughly 26-28°C. Partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorm chances have further moderated cooling rates, while an approaching low-pressure system from central India adds variability to cloud cover and moisture. Official forecasts from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on overnight lows near 26°C, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing brief dips toward 25°C. Final resolution hinges on precise minimum readings from local stations before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 13?
26°C 100%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$834 Vol.
$834 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$834 Vol.
$834 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47de9d...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47de9d...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Market-implied odds show traders closely divided between a 26°C and 25°C minimum in Karachi today, reflecting tight uncertainty around nocturnal cooling.** High daytime humidity near 75-80% combined with moderate west-southwest winds has limited radiative heat loss overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below seasonal norms of roughly 26-28°C. Partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorm chances have further moderated cooling rates, while an approaching low-pressure system from central India adds variability to cloud cover and moisture. Official forecasts from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on overnight lows near 26°C, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing brief dips toward 25°C. Final resolution hinges on precise minimum readings from local stations before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions