Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlight a low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal driving light rain and thunderstorms into Karachi on September 14, moderating overnight cooling through increased cloud cover and humidity. This setup, combined with persistent southwest winds off the warm Arabian Sea, supports minimum temperatures near 27–28°C, aligning with model consensus and historical September baselines around 25–28°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential clearer intervals that could allow greater radiative cooling toward 26°C, while high dew points near 26–27°C limit sharper drops. Updated model runs and official evening observations will clarify whether localized convection pushes the low slightly higher or lower.