Recent official forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department project a daytime high of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and humidity near 70%. These conditions reflect typical late-monsoon warmth across northern India, with light westerly winds and no significant cooling from heavy rainfall or frontal systems. Hourly model guidance shows afternoon peaks around 33–34°C before evening moderation, aligning with the 75.5% market-implied probability for 33°C or higher while leaving limited room for the 22.5% chance at exactly 32°C if convection suppresses the maximum. Updated model runs and surface observations through early September 16 will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
33°C or higher 62%
32°C 34%
31°C 4%
30°C <1%
NEW
$14,160 Vol.
NEW
$14,160 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
34%
33°C or higher
70%
33°C or higher 62%
32°C 34%
31°C 4%
30°C <1%
NEW
$14,160 Vol.
NEW
$14,160 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$890 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,578 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,276 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,404 Vol.
4%
32°C
$3,507 Vol.
34%
33°C or higher
$3,545 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department project a daytime high of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and humidity near 70%. These conditions reflect typical late-monsoon warmth across northern India, with light westerly winds and no significant cooling from heavy rainfall or frontal systems. Hourly model guidance shows afternoon peaks around 33–34°C before evening moderation, aligning with the 75.5% market-implied probability for 33°C or higher while leaving limited room for the 22.5% chance at exactly 32°C if convection suppresses the maximum. Updated model runs and surface observations through early September 16 will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,160End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department project a daytime high of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and humidity near 70%. These conditions reflect typical late-monsoon warmth across northern India, with light westerly winds and no significant cooling from heavy rainfall or frontal systems. Hourly model guidance shows afternoon peaks around 33–34°C before evening moderation, aligning with the 75.5% market-implied probability for 33°C or higher while leaving limited room for the 22.5% chance at exactly 32°C if convection suppresses the maximum. Updated model runs and surface observations through early September 16 will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,160End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department project a daytime high of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and humidity near 70%. These conditions reflect typical late-monsoon warmth across northern India, with light westerly winds and no significant cooling from heavy rainfall or frontal systems. Hourly model guidance shows afternoon peaks around 33–34°C before evening moderation, aligning with the 75.5% market-implied probability for 33°C or higher while leaving limited room for the 22.5% chance at exactly 32°C if convection suppresses the maximum. Updated model runs and surface observations through early September 16 will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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