Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, alongside her husband Nicolás Maduro, following their January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both pleaded not guilty at arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, with trial scheduled for June 2027. On September 9, 2026, her defense filed a motion seeking house arrest or bail, citing documented cardiac symptoms including arrhythmias, chest pain, weight loss, and a suspended stress test, while proposing 24-hour armed private security, electronic monitoring, passport surrender, and restricted communications at a private New York residence. Prosecutors oppose the request, and the court has not ruled. A November hearing is also set to address detention legality and potential immunity claims. These procedural developments and health-related arguments represent the primary near-term catalysts for trader assessments of release probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,377,921 Vol.
Jan 30, 2026
December 31
55%
$1,377,921 Vol.
December 31
$331,320 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, alongside her husband Nicolás Maduro, following their January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both pleaded not guilty at arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, with trial scheduled for June 2027. On September 9, 2026, her defense filed a motion seeking house arrest or bail, citing documented cardiac symptoms including arrhythmias, chest pain, weight loss, and a suspended stress test, while proposing 24-hour armed private security, electronic monitoring, passport surrender, and restricted communications at a private New York residence. Prosecutors oppose the request, and the court has not ruled. A November hearing is also set to address detention legality and potential immunity claims. These procedural developments and health-related arguments represent the primary near-term catalysts for trader assessments of release probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,377,921End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, alongside her husband Nicolás Maduro, following their January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both pleaded not guilty at arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, with trial scheduled for June 2027. On September 9, 2026, her defense filed a motion seeking house arrest or bail, citing documented cardiac symptoms including arrhythmias, chest pain, weight loss, and a suspended stress test, while proposing 24-hour armed private security, electronic monitoring, passport surrender, and restricted communications at a private New York residence. Prosecutors oppose the request, and the court has not ruled. A November hearing is also set to address detention legality and potential immunity claims. These procedural developments and health-related arguments represent the primary near-term catalysts for trader assessments of release probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,377,921End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, alongside her husband Nicolás Maduro, following their January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both pleaded not guilty at arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, with trial scheduled for June 2027. On September 9, 2026, her defense filed a motion seeking house arrest or bail, citing documented cardiac symptoms including arrhythmias, chest pain, weight loss, and a suspended stress test, while proposing 24-hour armed private security, electronic monitoring, passport surrender, and restricted communications at a private New York residence. Prosecutors oppose the request, and the court has not ruled. A November hearing is also set to address detention legality and potential immunity claims. These procedural developments and health-related arguments represent the primary near-term catalysts for trader assessments of release probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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