Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation holding at 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly rise, driven by energy prices surging amid Middle East tensions and gasoline up 27.4% annually. Core CPI eased slightly to 2.4% y/y yet posted a firmer 0.3% monthly gain, while University of Michigan surveys indicated one-year inflation expectations climbing to 4.6%. These developments sustain trader focus on whether September readings will stabilize near recent prints or accelerate further before the October 14 release. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.5% and 3.6%, reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through, shelter trends, and any early signs of broader price pressures ahead of the September FOMC meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3.5% 30%
3,6% 29%
3,4% 19%
3,7% 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 oct 2026
≤2,9%
4%
3,0%
5%
3,1%
5%
3,2%
4%
3,3%
5%
3,4%
19%
3.5%
30%
3,6%
29%
3,7%
8%
3,8%
6%
3,9%
1%
≥4,0%
4%
3.5% 30%
3,6% 29%
3,4% 19%
3,7% 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 oct 2026
≤2,9%
$83 Vol.
4%
3,0%
$67 Vol.
5%
3,1%
$64 Vol.
5%
3,2%
$87 Vol.
4%
3,3%
$345 Vol.
5%
3,4%
$466 Vol.
19%
3.5%
$1,009 Vol.
30%
3,6%
$725 Vol.
29%
3,7%
$309 Vol.
8%
3,8%
$54 Vol.
6%
3,9%
$288 Vol.
1%
≥4,0%
$129 Vol.
4%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation holding at 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly rise, driven by energy prices surging amid Middle East tensions and gasoline up 27.4% annually. Core CPI eased slightly to 2.4% y/y yet posted a firmer 0.3% monthly gain, while University of Michigan surveys indicated one-year inflation expectations climbing to 4.6%. These developments sustain trader focus on whether September readings will stabilize near recent prints or accelerate further before the October 14 release. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.5% and 3.6%, reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through, shelter trends, and any early signs of broader price pressures ahead of the September FOMC meeting.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Volumen
$3,628Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation holding at 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly rise, driven by energy prices surging amid Middle East tensions and gasoline up 27.4% annually. Core CPI eased slightly to 2.4% y/y yet posted a firmer 0.3% monthly gain, while University of Michigan surveys indicated one-year inflation expectations climbing to 4.6%. These developments sustain trader focus on whether September readings will stabilize near recent prints or accelerate further before the October 14 release. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.5% and 3.6%, reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through, shelter trends, and any early signs of broader price pressures ahead of the September FOMC meeting.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$3,628Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation holding at 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly rise, driven by energy prices surging amid Middle East tensions and gasoline up 27.4% annually. Core CPI eased slightly to 2.4% y/y yet posted a firmer 0.3% monthly gain, while University of Michigan surveys indicated one-year inflation expectations climbing to 4.6%. These developments sustain trader focus on whether September readings will stabilize near recent prints or accelerate further before the October 14 release. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.5% and 3.6%, reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through, shelter trends, and any early signs of broader price pressures ahead of the September FOMC meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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