Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining elevated overnight temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a minimum near 76–78 °F for Austin on September 11—well above the 1991–2020 climatological low of ~69 °F. Weak Gulf moisture and minimal cloud cover limit radiational cooling, while daytime highs near 100 °F maintain a warm boundary layer into the night. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–85 °F bins and the near-even split between sub-68 °F and 86 °F+ outcomes, reflecting residual spread in local mesonet observations and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS and high-resolution forecasts tonight will provide the final calibration ahead of the overnight minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Austin el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Austin el 11 de septiembre?
67°F o menos 84%
86°F o más 84%
74-75°F 40%
68-69°F 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
67°F o menos
84%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
40%
76-77 °F
25%
78-79 °F
23%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85 °F
39%
86°F o más
84%
67°F o menos 84%
86°F o más 84%
74-75°F 40%
68-69°F 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
67°F o menos
$0 Vol.
84%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77 °F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$41 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
39%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
39%
86°F o más
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining elevated overnight temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a minimum near 76–78 °F for Austin on September 11—well above the 1991–2020 climatological low of ~69 °F. Weak Gulf moisture and minimal cloud cover limit radiational cooling, while daytime highs near 100 °F maintain a warm boundary layer into the night. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–85 °F bins and the near-even split between sub-68 °F and 86 °F+ outcomes, reflecting residual spread in local mesonet observations and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS and high-resolution forecasts tonight will provide the final calibration ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$41Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining elevated overnight temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a minimum near 76–78 °F for Austin on September 11—well above the 1991–2020 climatological low of ~69 °F. Weak Gulf moisture and minimal cloud cover limit radiational cooling, while daytime highs near 100 °F maintain a warm boundary layer into the night. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–85 °F bins and the near-even split between sub-68 °F and 86 °F+ outcomes, reflecting residual spread in local mesonet observations and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS and high-resolution forecasts tonight will provide the final calibration ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining elevated overnight temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a minimum near 76–78 °F for Austin on September 11—well above the 1991–2020 climatological low of ~69 °F. Weak Gulf moisture and minimal cloud cover limit radiational cooling, while daytime highs near 100 °F maintain a warm boundary layer into the night. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–85 °F bins and the near-even split between sub-68 °F and 86 °F+ outcomes, reflecting residual spread in local mesonet observations and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS and high-resolution forecasts tonight will provide the final calibration ahead of the overnight minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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