Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major models points to clear skies and light northwest winds over Toronto on September 11, supporting radiational cooling and a minimum near 12–13 °C. This aligns with the clustered market probabilities around those values while the near-even split between the 17 °C+ and 7 °C-or-below bins reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight cooling rates and measurement-site differences. September climatology shows an average low of roughly 14.6 °C, so the cooler outlook stems from post-frontal high pressure rather than unusual cold advection. Final readings will resolve the market once official overnight minima are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 11 de septiembre?
7°C o menos 52%
17°C o más 48%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
7°C o menos
52%
8°C
19%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
24%
12°C
31%
13°C
30%
14°C
22%
15°C
15%
16°C
39%
17°C o más
48%
7°C o menos 52%
17°C o más 48%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
7°C o menos
52%
8°C
19%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
24%
12°C
31%
13°C
30%
14°C
22%
15°C
15%
16°C
39%
17°C o más
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major models points to clear skies and light northwest winds over Toronto on September 11, supporting radiational cooling and a minimum near 12–13 °C. This aligns with the clustered market probabilities around those values while the near-even split between the 17 °C+ and 7 °C-or-below bins reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight cooling rates and measurement-site differences. September climatology shows an average low of roughly 14.6 °C, so the cooler outlook stems from post-frontal high pressure rather than unusual cold advection. Final readings will resolve the market once official overnight minima are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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