**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum temperature of 30°C in Chongqing on September 10, 2026, driving the 99.4% market-implied probability.** A cold air mass arriving overnight has ended the prior heatwave, with advection of cooler air and widespread cloud cover plus scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent observations show highs dropping from 34–37°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s, aligning closely with ensemble guidance projecting a peak near 29–30°C under overcast conditions and light southwesterly flow. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27–28°C, making this outcome consistent with the cooling trajectory. Only unexpected breaks in cloud cover or model errors exceeding typical uncertainty ranges would shift the outcome toward lower or higher thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 10 de septiembre?
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
33°C o más <1%
32°C <1%
NUEVO
$65,601 Vol.
NUEVO
$65,601 Vol.
10 sep 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
33°C o más <1%
32°C <1%
NUEVO
$65,601 Vol.
NUEVO
$65,601 Vol.
10 sep 2026
23°C o menos
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$650 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,401 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,600 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,468 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,599 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$17,306 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,921 Vol.
99%
31°C
$8,453 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,975 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$1,572 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum temperature of 30°C in Chongqing on September 10, 2026, driving the 99.4% market-implied probability.** A cold air mass arriving overnight has ended the prior heatwave, with advection of cooler air and widespread cloud cover plus scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent observations show highs dropping from 34–37°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s, aligning closely with ensemble guidance projecting a peak near 29–30°C under overcast conditions and light southwesterly flow. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27–28°C, making this outcome consistent with the cooling trajectory. Only unexpected breaks in cloud cover or model errors exceeding typical uncertainty ranges would shift the outcome toward lower or higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$65,601Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum temperature of 30°C in Chongqing on September 10, 2026, driving the 99.4% market-implied probability.** A cold air mass arriving overnight has ended the prior heatwave, with advection of cooler air and widespread cloud cover plus scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent observations show highs dropping from 34–37°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s, aligning closely with ensemble guidance projecting a peak near 29–30°C under overcast conditions and light southwesterly flow. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27–28°C, making this outcome consistent with the cooling trajectory. Only unexpected breaks in cloud cover or model errors exceeding typical uncertainty ranges would shift the outcome toward lower or higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$65,601Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum temperature of 30°C in Chongqing on September 10, 2026, driving the 99.4% market-implied probability.** A cold air mass arriving overnight has ended the prior heatwave, with advection of cooler air and widespread cloud cover plus scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent observations show highs dropping from 34–37°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s, aligning closely with ensemble guidance projecting a peak near 29–30°C under overcast conditions and light southwesterly flow. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27–28°C, making this outcome consistent with the cooling trajectory. Only unexpected breaks in cloud cover or model errors exceeding typical uncertainty ranges would shift the outcome toward lower or higher thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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