Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model output place Austin's September 11 high near 99–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, creating the near-even implied probabilities between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and localized urban heating will determine whether readings stay below or exceed 100 °F. With minimal precipitation expected and no strong frontal passage, traders are closely monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus the evening NWS forecast discussion for any shift in the thermal profile. Historical September maxima near 95 °F provide context but current above-normal conditions favor the upper end of the distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 11 de septiembre?
98-99°F 48%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
87°F o menos
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106°F o superior
1%
98-99°F 48%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
87°F o menos
$391 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$52 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$115 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$200 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$92 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$432 Vol.
48%
100-101°F
$1,568 Vol.
40%
102-103°F
$310 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$80 Vol.
2%
106°F o superior
$21 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model output place Austin's September 11 high near 99–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, creating the near-even implied probabilities between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and localized urban heating will determine whether readings stay below or exceed 100 °F. With minimal precipitation expected and no strong frontal passage, traders are closely monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus the evening NWS forecast discussion for any shift in the thermal profile. Historical September maxima near 95 °F provide context but current above-normal conditions favor the upper end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,261Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model output place Austin's September 11 high near 99–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, creating the near-even implied probabilities between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and localized urban heating will determine whether readings stay below or exceed 100 °F. With minimal precipitation expected and no strong frontal passage, traders are closely monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus the evening NWS forecast discussion for any shift in the thermal profile. Historical September maxima near 95 °F provide context but current above-normal conditions favor the upper end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,261Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model output place Austin's September 11 high near 99–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, creating the near-even implied probabilities between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and localized urban heating will determine whether readings stay below or exceed 100 °F. With minimal precipitation expected and no strong frontal passage, traders are closely monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus the evening NWS forecast discussion for any shift in the thermal profile. Historical September maxima near 95 °F provide context but current above-normal conditions favor the upper end of the distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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