The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.96–4.97% in mid-September 2026, up roughly 90–100 basis points from early-year levels and approaching its highest marks since late 2023. Persistent inflation pressures, including elevated oil prices tied to geopolitical tensions, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting to around 70%. Heavy Treasury supply amid federal deficits exceeding $1.9 trillion, a rising term premium, and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure have also pushed real yields higher. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment data for signals on whether yields test or breach 5% before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 10 años antes de 2027?
¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 10 años antes de 2027?
$390,006 Vol.
30 dic 2026
5,0%
90%
5,1%
65%
5,2%
33%
5,5%
10%
5,7%
8%
6,0%
3%
$390,006 Vol.
5,0%
$111,586 Vol.
90%
5,1%
$3,835 Vol.
65%
5,2%
$55,620 Vol.
33%
5,5%
$18,277 Vol.
10%
5,7%
$9,914 Vol.
8%
6,0%
$8,631 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.96–4.97% in mid-September 2026, up roughly 90–100 basis points from early-year levels and approaching its highest marks since late 2023. Persistent inflation pressures, including elevated oil prices tied to geopolitical tensions, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting to around 70%. Heavy Treasury supply amid federal deficits exceeding $1.9 trillion, a rising term premium, and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure have also pushed real yields higher. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment data for signals on whether yields test or breach 5% before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Volumen
$390,006Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.96–4.97% in mid-September 2026, up roughly 90–100 basis points from early-year levels and approaching its highest marks since late 2023. Persistent inflation pressures, including elevated oil prices tied to geopolitical tensions, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting to around 70%. Heavy Treasury supply amid federal deficits exceeding $1.9 trillion, a rising term premium, and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure have also pushed real yields higher. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment data for signals on whether yields test or breach 5% before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volumen
$390,006Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.96–4.97% in mid-September 2026, up roughly 90–100 basis points from early-year levels and approaching its highest marks since late 2023. Persistent inflation pressures, including elevated oil prices tied to geopolitical tensions, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting to around 70%. Heavy Treasury supply amid federal deficits exceeding $1.9 trillion, a rising term premium, and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure have also pushed real yields higher. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment data for signals on whether yields test or breach 5% before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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