Recent 30-year Treasury yields near 5.33% reflect elevated term premia amid persistent fiscal deficits projected near 6.6% of GDP for 2026, heavy Treasury coupon supply, and resilient U.S. growth supporting higher neutral rates. Sticky inflation and Federal Reserve communications signaling a higher-for-longer policy path—following the latest FOMC actions and dot-plot shifts—have lifted market-implied rate expectations and reduced odds of near-term easing. Corporate long-duration issuance by hyperscalers adds to supply pressure at the long end. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI, employment reports, and FOMC deliberations that could alter the path for yields before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$26,890 Vol.
30 dic 2026
6,00%
4%
5,80%
8%
5,70%
12%
5,65%
20%
5,60%
34%
5,55%
42%
5,50%
62%
5,45%
74%
5,40%
93%
$26,890 Vol.
6,00%
$2,532 Vol.
4%
5,80%
$6,507 Vol.
8%
5,70%
$2,252 Vol.
12%
5,65%
$2,516 Vol.
20%
5,60%
$2,176 Vol.
34%
5,55%
$2,329 Vol.
42%
5,50%
$1,916 Vol.
62%
5,45%
$3,937 Vol.
74%
5,40%
$2,725 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent 30-year Treasury yields near 5.33% reflect elevated term premia amid persistent fiscal deficits projected near 6.6% of GDP for 2026, heavy Treasury coupon supply, and resilient U.S. growth supporting higher neutral rates. Sticky inflation and Federal Reserve communications signaling a higher-for-longer policy path—following the latest FOMC actions and dot-plot shifts—have lifted market-implied rate expectations and reduced odds of near-term easing. Corporate long-duration issuance by hyperscalers adds to supply pressure at the long end. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI, employment reports, and FOMC deliberations that could alter the path for yields before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$26,890Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent 30-year Treasury yields near 5.33% reflect elevated term premia amid persistent fiscal deficits projected near 6.6% of GDP for 2026, heavy Treasury coupon supply, and resilient U.S. growth supporting higher neutral rates. Sticky inflation and Federal Reserve communications signaling a higher-for-longer policy path—following the latest FOMC actions and dot-plot shifts—have lifted market-implied rate expectations and reduced odds of near-term easing. Corporate long-duration issuance by hyperscalers adds to supply pressure at the long end. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI, employment reports, and FOMC deliberations that could alter the path for yields before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$26,890Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent 30-year Treasury yields near 5.33% reflect elevated term premia amid persistent fiscal deficits projected near 6.6% of GDP for 2026, heavy Treasury coupon supply, and resilient U.S. growth supporting higher neutral rates. Sticky inflation and Federal Reserve communications signaling a higher-for-longer policy path—following the latest FOMC actions and dot-plot shifts—have lifted market-implied rate expectations and reduced odds of near-term easing. Corporate long-duration issuance by hyperscalers adds to supply pressure at the long end. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI, employment reports, and FOMC deliberations that could alter the path for yields before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes