Recent cold air advection and persistent heavy rainfall from a strong frontal system have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, suppressing the daily maximum well below prior late-summer levels near 34 °C. Thick cloud cover limits solar heating while evaporative cooling and northerly winds further cap temperatures, producing forecast highs clustered at 20–23 °C according to official guidance. Market-implied probabilities favor 21–23 °C because these values align with the consensus range from numerical models and station observations, with small differences arising from exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Continued precipitation through the afternoon reduces upside potential for 24 °C or higher while making sub-20 °C readings unlikely absent an unexpected intensification of the rain.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 10 de septiembre?
22°C 33%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
$12,673 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,673 Vol.
10 sep 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
22°C 33%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
$12,673 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,673 Vol.
10 sep 2026
18°C o menos
$375 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,155 Vol.
11%
21°C
$1,639 Vol.
25%
22°C
$1,971 Vol.
33%
23°C
$1,071 Vol.
22%
24°C
$1,395 Vol.
5%
25°C
$910 Vol.
4%
26°C
$471 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
28°C o más
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection and persistent heavy rainfall from a strong frontal system have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, suppressing the daily maximum well below prior late-summer levels near 34 °C. Thick cloud cover limits solar heating while evaporative cooling and northerly winds further cap temperatures, producing forecast highs clustered at 20–23 °C according to official guidance. Market-implied probabilities favor 21–23 °C because these values align with the consensus range from numerical models and station observations, with small differences arising from exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Continued precipitation through the afternoon reduces upside potential for 24 °C or higher while making sub-20 °C readings unlikely absent an unexpected intensification of the rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$12,673Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection and persistent heavy rainfall from a strong frontal system have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, suppressing the daily maximum well below prior late-summer levels near 34 °C. Thick cloud cover limits solar heating while evaporative cooling and northerly winds further cap temperatures, producing forecast highs clustered at 20–23 °C according to official guidance. Market-implied probabilities favor 21–23 °C because these values align with the consensus range from numerical models and station observations, with small differences arising from exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Continued precipitation through the afternoon reduces upside potential for 24 °C or higher while making sub-20 °C readings unlikely absent an unexpected intensification of the rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,673Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection and persistent heavy rainfall from a strong frontal system have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, suppressing the daily maximum well below prior late-summer levels near 34 °C. Thick cloud cover limits solar heating while evaporative cooling and northerly winds further cap temperatures, producing forecast highs clustered at 20–23 °C according to official guidance. Market-implied probabilities favor 21–23 °C because these values align with the consensus range from numerical models and station observations, with small differences arising from exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Continued precipitation through the afternoon reduces upside potential for 24 °C or higher while making sub-20 °C readings unlikely absent an unexpected intensification of the rain.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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