**September 2026 global temperatures are on track to rank as the second-hottest September on record, supported by a strong El Niño and long-term anthropogenic warming.** Official Copernicus and NOAA analyses confirm August 2026 tied July 2023 as the warmest month overall at 16.96°C, while ECMWF ensemble forecasts for the full September project a global mean near 16.26°C—slightly below September 2023’s 16.38°C record but well ahead of prior years. This positioning reflects persistent equatorial Pacific warmth elevating sea surface temperatures and atmospheric heat content, consistent with the current super El Niño phase. Final ranking hinges on the remaining days’ observations and any ERA5 revisions; a cooler finish or model shifts could push it to third or lower, though the current 0.11°C margin and low ensemble spread make a top-two September outcome highly probable under trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1., 2. oder 3. September 2026 am heißesten seit Bestehen?
1., 2. oder 3. September 2026 am heißesten seit Bestehen?
Zweitwärmster 96.5%
Viertniedrigster oder niedriger 3.1%
Heißester 1.5%
Drittwärmster <1%
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
Heißester
2%
Zweitwärmster
97%
Drittwärmster
1%
Viertniedrigster oder niedriger
3%
Zweitwärmster 96.5%
Viertniedrigster oder niedriger 3.1%
Heißester 1.5%
Drittwärmster <1%
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
Heißester
$1,322 Vol.
2%
Zweitwärmster
$1,072 Vol.
97%
Drittwärmster
$883 Vol.
1%
Viertniedrigster oder niedriger
$958 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.**September 2026 global temperatures are on track to rank as the second-hottest September on record, supported by a strong El Niño and long-term anthropogenic warming.** Official Copernicus and NOAA analyses confirm August 2026 tied July 2023 as the warmest month overall at 16.96°C, while ECMWF ensemble forecasts for the full September project a global mean near 16.26°C—slightly below September 2023’s 16.38°C record but well ahead of prior years. This positioning reflects persistent equatorial Pacific warmth elevating sea surface temperatures and atmospheric heat content, consistent with the current super El Niño phase. Final ranking hinges on the remaining days’ observations and any ERA5 revisions; a cooler finish or model shifts could push it to third or lower, though the current 0.11°C margin and low ensemble spread make a top-two September outcome highly probable under trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Volumen
$4,236Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 11:14 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.**September 2026 global temperatures are on track to rank as the second-hottest September on record, supported by a strong El Niño and long-term anthropogenic warming.** Official Copernicus and NOAA analyses confirm August 2026 tied July 2023 as the warmest month overall at 16.96°C, while ECMWF ensemble forecasts for the full September project a global mean near 16.26°C—slightly below September 2023’s 16.38°C record but well ahead of prior years. This positioning reflects persistent equatorial Pacific warmth elevating sea surface temperatures and atmospheric heat content, consistent with the current super El Niño phase. Final ranking hinges on the remaining days’ observations and any ERA5 revisions; a cooler finish or model shifts could push it to third or lower, though the current 0.11°C margin and low ensemble spread make a top-two September outcome highly probable under trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volumen
$4,236Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 11:14 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**September 2026 global temperatures are on track to rank as the second-hottest September on record, supported by a strong El Niño and long-term anthropogenic warming.** Official Copernicus and NOAA analyses confirm August 2026 tied July 2023 as the warmest month overall at 16.96°C, while ECMWF ensemble forecasts for the full September project a global mean near 16.26°C—slightly below September 2023’s 16.38°C record but well ahead of prior years. This positioning reflects persistent equatorial Pacific warmth elevating sea surface temperatures and atmospheric heat content, consistent with the current super El Niño phase. Final ranking hinges on the remaining days’ observations and any ERA5 revisions; a cooler finish or model shifts could push it to third or lower, though the current 0.11°C margin and low ensemble spread make a top-two September outcome highly probable under trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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