Recent OpenAI announcements of an AI-driven solution to the Navier-Stokes equations have accelerated trader focus on remaining Millennium Prize Problems, underscoring rapid gains in large language model reasoning and multi-agent systems for formal proofs. With Hodge Conjecture and “no solution by end-2027” nearly tied near 30 percent implied probability, markets reflect uncertainty over which conjecture—Hodge’s algebraic geometry questions or analytic number theory challenges like Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer or Riemann Hypothesis—will yield next to current AI capabilities. P versus NP and Yang-Mills trail due to their deeper computational and physical barriers. Upcoming model releases and benchmark results on formal mathematics will likely drive near-term sentiment shifts before the 2027 deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKeine Lösung bis 31. Dezember 2027 31%
Hodge-Vermutung 30%
Birch und Swinnerton-Dyer 22%
Riemannsche Vermutung 16%
Keine Lösung bis 31. Dezember 2027
31%
Hodge-Vermutung
30%
Birch und Swinnerton-Dyer
22%
Riemannsche Vermutung
16%
P versus NP
5%
Yang-Mills
2%
Keine Lösung bis 31. Dezember 2027 31%
Hodge-Vermutung 30%
Birch und Swinnerton-Dyer 22%
Riemannsche Vermutung 16%
Keine Lösung bis 31. Dezember 2027
31%
Hodge-Vermutung
30%
Birch und Swinnerton-Dyer
22%
Riemannsche Vermutung
16%
P versus NP
5%
Yang-Mills
2%
If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent OpenAI announcements of an AI-driven solution to the Navier-Stokes equations have accelerated trader focus on remaining Millennium Prize Problems, underscoring rapid gains in large language model reasoning and multi-agent systems for formal proofs. With Hodge Conjecture and “no solution by end-2027” nearly tied near 30 percent implied probability, markets reflect uncertainty over which conjecture—Hodge’s algebraic geometry questions or analytic number theory challenges like Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer or Riemann Hypothesis—will yield next to current AI capabilities. P versus NP and Yang-Mills trail due to their deeper computational and physical barriers. Upcoming model releases and benchmark results on formal mathematics will likely drive near-term sentiment shifts before the 2027 deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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