Anthropic leads Polymarket’s implied probabilities for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap at 59 percent, driven by its June confidential S-1 filing and reports of an October listing window targeting a $2 trillion valuation that would eclipse SpaceX’s record $1.77 trillion June debut. The AI company’s annualized revenue run rate reached roughly $65 billion by July, up sharply from prior periods, supporting banker discussions of a potential $100 billion raise. SpaceX’s completed offering accounts for its 40.5 percent odds, while xAI’s February acquisition by SpaceX eliminates any standalone listing path and caps its probability at 25.5 percent. OpenAI’s lower 1.8 percent reflects a more extended timeline. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public S-1 release and final pricing details, which will clarify whether its implied market capitalization surpasses the prior benchmark.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGrößter Börsengang nach Marktkapitalisierung im Jahr 2026?
Größter Börsengang nach Marktkapitalisierung im Jahr 2026?
Anthropic 58.9%
SpaceX 41%
OpenAI 1.9%
Discord <1%
$5,970,963 Vol.
$5,970,963 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Anthropic
59%
SpaceX
41%
OpenAI
2%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Anthropic 58.9%
SpaceX 41%
OpenAI 1.9%
Discord <1%
$5,970,963 Vol.
$5,970,963 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Anthropic
$1,096,755 Vol.
59%
SpaceX
$874,844 Vol.
41%
OpenAI
$552,951 Vol.
2%
Discord
$182,734 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$213,746 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$134,177 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$656,964 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$583,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$318,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,687 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$108,136 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$615,205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic leads Polymarket’s implied probabilities for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap at 59 percent, driven by its June confidential S-1 filing and reports of an October listing window targeting a $2 trillion valuation that would eclipse SpaceX’s record $1.77 trillion June debut. The AI company’s annualized revenue run rate reached roughly $65 billion by July, up sharply from prior periods, supporting banker discussions of a potential $100 billion raise. SpaceX’s completed offering accounts for its 40.5 percent odds, while xAI’s February acquisition by SpaceX eliminates any standalone listing path and caps its probability at 25.5 percent. OpenAI’s lower 1.8 percent reflects a more extended timeline. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public S-1 release and final pricing details, which will clarify whether its implied market capitalization surpasses the prior benchmark.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$5,970,963Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic leads Polymarket’s implied probabilities for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap at 59 percent, driven by its June confidential S-1 filing and reports of an October listing window targeting a $2 trillion valuation that would eclipse SpaceX’s record $1.77 trillion June debut. The AI company’s annualized revenue run rate reached roughly $65 billion by July, up sharply from prior periods, supporting banker discussions of a potential $100 billion raise. SpaceX’s completed offering accounts for its 40.5 percent odds, while xAI’s February acquisition by SpaceX eliminates any standalone listing path and caps its probability at 25.5 percent. OpenAI’s lower 1.8 percent reflects a more extended timeline. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public S-1 release and final pricing details, which will clarify whether its implied market capitalization surpasses the prior benchmark.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$5,970,963Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic leads Polymarket’s implied probabilities for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap at 59 percent, driven by its June confidential S-1 filing and reports of an October listing window targeting a $2 trillion valuation that would eclipse SpaceX’s record $1.77 trillion June debut. The AI company’s annualized revenue run rate reached roughly $65 billion by July, up sharply from prior periods, supporting banker discussions of a potential $100 billion raise. SpaceX’s completed offering accounts for its 40.5 percent odds, while xAI’s February acquisition by SpaceX eliminates any standalone listing path and caps its probability at 25.5 percent. OpenAI’s lower 1.8 percent reflects a more extended timeline. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public S-1 release and final pricing details, which will clarify whether its implied market capitalization surpasses the prior benchmark.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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