With only about 0.9 inches recorded at Central Park through early September 2026 against a roughly 4-inch monthly climatological average, near-term forecasts from the National Weather Service favor mostly dry high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow through mid-month, limiting additional accumulation. This keeps market-implied odds clustered around the 2–4 inch bins. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or tropical moisture returns, which could add 1–3 inches depending on steering patterns and convective efficiency; model spread in extended-range guidance creates the observed balance between the 2–3 inch and 3–4 inch brackets while capping probabilities for extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiederschlag in NYC im September?
Niederschlag in NYC im September?
3-4" 26%
4-5" 22%
2-3" 21%
>6" 21%
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
27%
3-4"
28%
4-5"
22%
5-6"
7%
>6"
21%
3-4" 26%
4-5" 22%
2-3" 21%
>6" 21%
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
<2"
$1,069 Vol.
8%
2-3"
$469 Vol.
27%
3-4"
$212 Vol.
28%
4-5"
$463 Vol.
22%
5-6"
$166 Vol.
7%
>6"
$695 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only about 0.9 inches recorded at Central Park through early September 2026 against a roughly 4-inch monthly climatological average, near-term forecasts from the National Weather Service favor mostly dry high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow through mid-month, limiting additional accumulation. This keeps market-implied odds clustered around the 2–4 inch bins. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or tropical moisture returns, which could add 1–3 inches depending on steering patterns and convective efficiency; model spread in extended-range guidance creates the observed balance between the 2–3 inch and 3–4 inch brackets while capping probabilities for extremes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volumen
$3,074Enddatum
2. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only about 0.9 inches recorded at Central Park through early September 2026 against a roughly 4-inch monthly climatological average, near-term forecasts from the National Weather Service favor mostly dry high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow through mid-month, limiting additional accumulation. This keeps market-implied odds clustered around the 2–4 inch bins. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or tropical moisture returns, which could add 1–3 inches depending on steering patterns and convective efficiency; model spread in extended-range guidance creates the observed balance between the 2–3 inch and 3–4 inch brackets while capping probabilities for extremes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,074Enddatum
2. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...With only about 0.9 inches recorded at Central Park through early September 2026 against a roughly 4-inch monthly climatological average, near-term forecasts from the National Weather Service favor mostly dry high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow through mid-month, limiting additional accumulation. This keeps market-implied odds clustered around the 2–4 inch bins. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or tropical moisture returns, which could add 1–3 inches depending on steering patterns and convective efficiency; model spread in extended-range guidance creates the observed balance between the 2–3 inch and 3–4 inch brackets while capping probabilities for extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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