OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 release of a Lean-formalized proof establishing finite-time singularity for forced three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations (statements C and D) underpins the 94% market-implied probability against retraction. The company published both an analytical write-up and a public GitHub repository containing machine-checkable formalization produced by an internal multi-agent system, enabling rapid independent verification that has so far uncovered no fatal mathematical flaws. Ongoing scrutiny centers on priority and research-conduct allegations involving external mathematicians rather than errors in the argument itself. With the Clay Mathematics Institute review and broader peer validation still underway through year-end, traders view a full official retraction as unlikely absent major new discrepancies. A credible flaw discovered in independent checks or an unexpected admission by OpenAI could still shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
6% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
6% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 release of a Lean-formalized proof establishing finite-time singularity for forced three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations (statements C and D) underpins the 94% market-implied probability against retraction. The company published both an analytical write-up and a public GitHub repository containing machine-checkable formalization produced by an internal multi-agent system, enabling rapid independent verification that has so far uncovered no fatal mathematical flaws. Ongoing scrutiny centers on priority and research-conduct allegations involving external mathematicians rather than errors in the argument itself. With the Clay Mathematics Institute review and broader peer validation still underway through year-end, traders view a full official retraction as unlikely absent major new discrepancies. A credible flaw discovered in independent checks or an unexpected admission by OpenAI could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volumen
$62Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 release of a Lean-formalized proof establishing finite-time singularity for forced three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations (statements C and D) underpins the 94% market-implied probability against retraction. The company published both an analytical write-up and a public GitHub repository containing machine-checkable formalization produced by an internal multi-agent system, enabling rapid independent verification that has so far uncovered no fatal mathematical flaws. Ongoing scrutiny centers on priority and research-conduct allegations involving external mathematicians rather than errors in the argument itself. With the Clay Mathematics Institute review and broader peer validation still underway through year-end, traders view a full official retraction as unlikely absent major new discrepancies. A credible flaw discovered in independent checks or an unexpected admission by OpenAI could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$62Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 release of a Lean-formalized proof establishing finite-time singularity for forced three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations (statements C and D) underpins the 94% market-implied probability against retraction. The company published both an analytical write-up and a public GitHub repository containing machine-checkable formalization produced by an internal multi-agent system, enabling rapid independent verification that has so far uncovered no fatal mathematical flaws. Ongoing scrutiny centers on priority and research-conduct allegations involving external mathematicians rather than errors in the argument itself. With the Clay Mathematics Institute review and broader peer validation still underway through year-end, traders view a full official retraction as unlikely absent major new discrepancies. A credible flaw discovered in independent checks or an unexpected admission by OpenAI could still shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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