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icon for OpenAI zieht Navier-Stokes-Lösung im Jahr 2026 zurück?

OpenAI zieht Navier-Stokes-Lösung im Jahr 2026 zurück?

icon for OpenAI zieht Navier-Stokes-Lösung im Jahr 2026 zurück?

OpenAI zieht Navier-Stokes-Lösung im Jahr 2026 zurück?

Ja

7% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

7% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8, 2026, release of a detailed analytical proof and Lean-formalized verification for a finite-time singularity under smooth forcing (Clay statements C and D) has solidified trader confidence that the company will not retract the result by year-end. The public GitHub repository and use of an internal model far more capable than GPT-6 Astra, backed by roughly 10,000 agents over 88 hours, provide a machine-checkable foundation that distinguishes this from unverified claims. Ongoing disputes center on research conduct, credit with external mathematicians, and possible indirect data influence rather than identified mathematical errors. While independent verification could still surface flaws or prompt a narrower clarification, the current skin-in-the-game consensus views outright retraction as unlikely given the formal outputs and OpenAI’s explicit decision not to pursue the Millennium Prize.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).

A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$112
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8, 2026, release of a detailed analytical proof and Lean-formalized verification for a finite-time singularity under smooth forcing (Clay statements C and D) has solidified trader confidence that the company will not retract the result by year-end. The public GitHub repository and use of an internal model far more capable than GPT-6 Astra, backed by roughly 10,000 agents over 88 hours, provide a machine-checkable foundation that distinguishes this from unverified claims. Ongoing disputes center on research conduct, credit with external mathematicians, and possible indirect data influence rather than identified mathematical errors. While independent verification could still surface flaws or prompt a narrower clarification, the current skin-in-the-game consensus views outright retraction as unlikely given the formal outputs and OpenAI’s explicit decision not to pursue the Millennium Prize.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).

A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$112
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

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