Recent Quaest polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading Senate intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, with the top three within the 3-point margin of error and 27% undecided plus 18% blank or null. Voters select two senators, positioning Arraes as the likely first-place finisher and leaving Costa and Mendonça in a near-even contest for second. Mendonça has narrowed the gap slightly since late August while both face comparable rejection levels around 38-40%. The concurrent tight gubernatorial race between Raquel Lyra and João Campos, along with potential last-month alliances and turnout patterns, could shift preferences among the remaining undecided voters before October.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHumberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 42%
Marília Arraes 12.8%
Túlio Gadêlha 3.3%
$30,979 Vol.
$30,979 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Humberto Costa
43%
Mendonça Filho
42%
Marília Arraes
13%
Túlio Gadêlha
3%
Eduardo da Fonte
2%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Humberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 42%
Marília Arraes 12.8%
Túlio Gadêlha 3.3%
$30,979 Vol.
$30,979 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,072 Vol.
43%
Mendonça Filho
$8,246 Vol.
42%
Marília Arraes
$5,262 Vol.
13%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,430 Vol.
3%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,511 Vol.
2%
Samuel Timoteo
$834 Vol.
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$806 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$773 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 Vol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 Vol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading Senate intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, with the top three within the 3-point margin of error and 27% undecided plus 18% blank or null. Voters select two senators, positioning Arraes as the likely first-place finisher and leaving Costa and Mendonça in a near-even contest for second. Mendonça has narrowed the gap slightly since late August while both face comparable rejection levels around 38-40%. The concurrent tight gubernatorial race between Raquel Lyra and João Campos, along with potential last-month alliances and turnout patterns, could shift preferences among the remaining undecided voters before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volumen
$30,979Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading Senate intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, with the top three within the 3-point margin of error and 27% undecided plus 18% blank or null. Voters select two senators, positioning Arraes as the likely first-place finisher and leaving Costa and Mendonça in a near-even contest for second. Mendonça has narrowed the gap slightly since late August while both face comparable rejection levels around 38-40%. The concurrent tight gubernatorial race between Raquel Lyra and João Campos, along with potential last-month alliances and turnout patterns, could shift preferences among the remaining undecided voters before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$30,979Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading Senate intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, with the top three within the 3-point margin of error and 27% undecided plus 18% blank or null. Voters select two senators, positioning Arraes as the likely first-place finisher and leaving Costa and Mendonça in a near-even contest for second. Mendonça has narrowed the gap slightly since late August while both face comparable rejection levels around 38-40%. The concurrent tight gubernatorial race between Raquel Lyra and João Campos, along with potential last-month alliances and turnout patterns, could shift preferences among the remaining undecided voters before October.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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