Cid Gomes holds a commanding position in the Ceará Senate race due to his status as incumbent with strong name recognition, prior service as governor and education minister, and alignment with the state governing coalition backing Elmano de Freitas for reelection. Recent Datafolha and Quaest polls from August and early September show him leading or tied for the top spot with 23-26% support, ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins. His August convention formalization and first-supplente selection further consolidated backing. Wagner and Lins trail as the main challengers with single-digit to low-20s polling shares, while the remaining registered candidates register minimal support. Traders price the October 4 first-place outcome accordingly, reflecting the incumbent's structural and polling advantages three weeks before voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCid Gomes 78%
Capitão Wagner 11%
Luizianne 3.9%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,581 Vol.
$23,581 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Cid Gomes
78%
Capitão Wagner
11%
Luizianne
7%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Cid Gomes 78%
Capitão Wagner 11%
Luizianne 3.9%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,581 Vol.
$23,581 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Cid Gomes
$15,837 Vol.
78%
Capitão Wagner
$2,715 Vol.
11%
Luizianne
$1,258 Vol.
7%
Alcides Fernandes
$857 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$654 Vol.
<1%
Lino Alves
$840 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$650 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$769 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes holds a commanding position in the Ceará Senate race due to his status as incumbent with strong name recognition, prior service as governor and education minister, and alignment with the state governing coalition backing Elmano de Freitas for reelection. Recent Datafolha and Quaest polls from August and early September show him leading or tied for the top spot with 23-26% support, ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins. His August convention formalization and first-supplente selection further consolidated backing. Wagner and Lins trail as the main challengers with single-digit to low-20s polling shares, while the remaining registered candidates register minimal support. Traders price the October 4 first-place outcome accordingly, reflecting the incumbent's structural and polling advantages three weeks before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volumen
$23,581Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes holds a commanding position in the Ceará Senate race due to his status as incumbent with strong name recognition, prior service as governor and education minister, and alignment with the state governing coalition backing Elmano de Freitas for reelection. Recent Datafolha and Quaest polls from August and early September show him leading or tied for the top spot with 23-26% support, ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins. His August convention formalization and first-supplente selection further consolidated backing. Wagner and Lins trail as the main challengers with single-digit to low-20s polling shares, while the remaining registered candidates register minimal support. Traders price the October 4 first-place outcome accordingly, reflecting the incumbent's structural and polling advantages three weeks before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$23,581Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes holds a commanding position in the Ceará Senate race due to his status as incumbent with strong name recognition, prior service as governor and education minister, and alignment with the state governing coalition backing Elmano de Freitas for reelection. Recent Datafolha and Quaest polls from August and early September show him leading or tied for the top spot with 23-26% support, ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins. His August convention formalization and first-supplente selection further consolidated backing. Wagner and Lins trail as the main challengers with single-digit to low-20s polling shares, while the remaining registered candidates register minimal support. Traders price the October 4 first-place outcome accordingly, reflecting the incumbent's structural and polling advantages three weeks before voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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