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icon for Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz

icon for Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz

Marcelo Crivella 56.0%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Carlos Jordy 14%

Pedro Paulo 11.8%

Polymarket

$53,384 Vol.

Marcelo Crivella 56.0%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Carlos Jordy 14%

Pedro Paulo 11.8%

Polymarket

$53,384 Vol.

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$7,811 Vol.

56%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$9,522 Vol.

16%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$11,143 Vol.

14%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$7,807 Vol.

12%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$5,369 Vol.

3%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$2,052 Vol.

1%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$1,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$896 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,292 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$2,185 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$1,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$533 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) has edged ahead of rivals including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL) for the second position. Quaest data released September 8 placed Crivella at 8% in combined voting intentions compared to 6% for the next group, reflecting modest momentum amid high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40% in some surveys. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Crivella for second place, though the contest remains fluid given overlapping support bases, coalition dynamics, and limited name recognition for many listed contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could shift relative standings before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$53,384
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) has edged ahead of rivals including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL) for the second position. Quaest data released September 8 placed Crivella at 8% in combined voting intentions compared to 6% for the next group, reflecting modest momentum amid high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40% in some surveys. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Crivella for second place, though the contest remains fluid given overlapping support bases, coalition dynamics, and limited name recognition for many listed contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could shift relative standings before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$53,384
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Benedita da Silva bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio de Janeiro die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Benedita da Silva bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio de Janeiro die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

66%
Ja
icon for Wird Manuela D'Ávila bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Sul die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Manuela D'Ávila bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Sul die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

31%
Ja
icon for Wird Zenaide Maia bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Zenaide Maia bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

49%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marcelo Crivella" mit 56%, gefolgt von „Benedita da Silva" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 56¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $53.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 16 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" ist „Marcelo Crivella" mit 56%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Benedita da Silva" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.