Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking reelection, holds a 61% implied probability for second place in the Paraíba Senate race according to trader consensus. Polling throughout August and early September consistently positions former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) as the frontrunner for first place, with Veneziano trailing but well ahead of the field in consolidated first- and second-vote intentions. Other registered candidates—including Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Major Fábio (Novo), and André Gadelha (MDB)—register single-digit or low-double-digit support in the same surveys, reflecting limited momentum. With the October 4 election approaching and no major shifts in recent polling, traders view Veneziano’s established name recognition and coalition backing as the primary factors anchoring his position as the most likely runner-up.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVeneziano 60%
Nabor 26%
Adriano Trajano 3.3%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 2.7%
$17,223 Vol.
$17,223 Vol.

Veneziano
60%

Nabor
31%

Adriano Trajano
3%

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
3%

Major Fábio
1%

Joao Azevêdo
1%

Rosilene Santana
1%

Rinaldo Júnior
<1%

André Gadelha
<1%

João Batista
<1%
Veneziano 60%
Nabor 26%
Adriano Trajano 3.3%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 2.7%
$17,223 Vol.
$17,223 Vol.

Veneziano
60%

Nabor
31%

Adriano Trajano
3%

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
3%

Major Fábio
1%

Joao Azevêdo
1%

Rosilene Santana
1%

Rinaldo Júnior
<1%

André Gadelha
<1%

João Batista
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking reelection, holds a 61% implied probability for second place in the Paraíba Senate race according to trader consensus. Polling throughout August and early September consistently positions former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) as the frontrunner for first place, with Veneziano trailing but well ahead of the field in consolidated first- and second-vote intentions. Other registered candidates—including Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Major Fábio (Novo), and André Gadelha (MDB)—register single-digit or low-double-digit support in the same surveys, reflecting limited momentum. With the October 4 election approaching and no major shifts in recent polling, traders view Veneziano’s established name recognition and coalition backing as the primary factors anchoring his position as the most likely runner-up.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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