The Paraná Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains tightly contested, with trader pricing reflecting a narrow edge for Deltan Dallagnol amid broader fragmentation. Recent TRE-PR approval of Dallagnol’s candidacy by a 4-3 vote, despite pending PT appeals to the TSE, has clarified his path while right-leaning votes split among him, Filipe Barros (PL), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), and Cristina Graeml (PSD). Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) anchors the left but trails in recent surveys. High undecided shares and the dual-vote structure sustain volatility, with any late shifts in turnout, coalition consolidation, or further court rulings capable of separating the field before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDeltan Dallagnol 45%
Filipe Barros 29%
Alexandre Curi 28%
Gleisi 4.7%
$47,900 Vol.
$47,900 Vol.

Deltan Dallagnol
45%

Filipe Barros
29%

Alexandre Curi
28%

Gleisi
7%

Dr. Rosinha
<1%

Karen Guerreiro
<1%

Marcelo Marcelino
<1%

Cristina Reis Graeml
<1%

Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Deltan Dallagnol 45%
Filipe Barros 29%
Alexandre Curi 28%
Gleisi 4.7%
$47,900 Vol.
$47,900 Vol.

Deltan Dallagnol
45%

Filipe Barros
29%

Alexandre Curi
28%

Gleisi
7%

Dr. Rosinha
<1%

Karen Guerreiro
<1%

Marcelo Marcelino
<1%

Cristina Reis Graeml
<1%

Joaquim do MLB
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains tightly contested, with trader pricing reflecting a narrow edge for Deltan Dallagnol amid broader fragmentation. Recent TRE-PR approval of Dallagnol’s candidacy by a 4-3 vote, despite pending PT appeals to the TSE, has clarified his path while right-leaning votes split among him, Filipe Barros (PL), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), and Cristina Graeml (PSD). Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) anchors the left but trails in recent surveys. High undecided shares and the dual-vote structure sustain volatility, with any late shifts in turnout, coalition consolidation, or further court rulings capable of separating the field before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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