Multiple candidates remain closely matched in recent polling for the two Paraná Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi, Deltan Dallagnol, Filipe Barros, and Gleisi Hoffmann frequently within margins of error in August surveys from institutes including Quaest and Real Time Big Data. High undecided rates and voters selecting two names sustain volatility in second-place positioning. The TRE-PR's September 8 approval of Dallagnol's candidacy by a 4-3 vote removed a key legal barrier, while party fragmentation on the center-right and competing bases among prefeitos and conservative voters limit any single frontrunner's separation. These factors keep implied probabilities clustered, with scheduled October 4 voting and potential late shifts in turnout or alliances as the main variables that could reorder outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAlexandre Curi 35%
Filipe Barros 22%
Deltan Dallagnol 18%
Gleisi 10.4%
$32,117 Vol.
$32,117 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Alexandre Curi
35%
Filipe Barros
22%
Deltan Dallagnol
18%
Gleisi
10%
Cristina Reis Graeml
4%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Alexandre Curi 35%
Filipe Barros 22%
Deltan Dallagnol 18%
Gleisi 10.4%
$32,117 Vol.
$32,117 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Alexandre Curi
$4,971 Vol.
35%
Filipe Barros
$10,942 Vol.
22%
Deltan Dallagnol
$7,329 Vol.
18%
Gleisi
$4,901 Vol.
10%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$1,523 Vol.
4%
Marcelo Marcelino
$605 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
$574 Vol.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$712 Vol.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$560 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple candidates remain closely matched in recent polling for the two Paraná Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi, Deltan Dallagnol, Filipe Barros, and Gleisi Hoffmann frequently within margins of error in August surveys from institutes including Quaest and Real Time Big Data. High undecided rates and voters selecting two names sustain volatility in second-place positioning. The TRE-PR's September 8 approval of Dallagnol's candidacy by a 4-3 vote removed a key legal barrier, while party fragmentation on the center-right and competing bases among prefeitos and conservative voters limit any single frontrunner's separation. These factors keep implied probabilities clustered, with scheduled October 4 voting and potential late shifts in turnout or alliances as the main variables that could reorder outcomes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volumen
$32,117Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple candidates remain closely matched in recent polling for the two Paraná Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi, Deltan Dallagnol, Filipe Barros, and Gleisi Hoffmann frequently within margins of error in August surveys from institutes including Quaest and Real Time Big Data. High undecided rates and voters selecting two names sustain volatility in second-place positioning. The TRE-PR's September 8 approval of Dallagnol's candidacy by a 4-3 vote removed a key legal barrier, while party fragmentation on the center-right and competing bases among prefeitos and conservative voters limit any single frontrunner's separation. These factors keep implied probabilities clustered, with scheduled October 4 voting and potential late shifts in turnout or alliances as the main variables that could reorder outcomes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$32,117Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Multiple candidates remain closely matched in recent polling for the two Paraná Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi, Deltan Dallagnol, Filipe Barros, and Gleisi Hoffmann frequently within margins of error in August surveys from institutes including Quaest and Real Time Big Data. High undecided rates and voters selecting two names sustain volatility in second-place positioning. The TRE-PR's September 8 approval of Dallagnol's candidacy by a 4-3 vote removed a key legal barrier, while party fragmentation on the center-right and competing bases among prefeitos and conservative voters limit any single frontrunner's separation. These factors keep implied probabilities clustered, with scheduled October 4 voting and potential late shifts in turnout or alliances as the main variables that could reorder outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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