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icon for Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz

icon for Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz

Jaques Wagner 70%

Angelo Coronel 14.5%

Rui Costa 12.5%

João Roma 2.4%

Polymarket

$31,342 Vol.

Jaques Wagner 70%

Angelo Coronel 14.5%

Rui Costa 12.5%

João Roma 2.4%

Polymarket

$31,342 Vol.

icon for Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

$20,045 Vol.

70%

icon for Angelo Coronel

Angelo Coronel

$1,641 Vol.

15%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$4,818 Vol.

13%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$1,021 Vol.

2%

icon for Carlos Sodré

Carlos Sodré

$681 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gregorio Gould

Gregorio Gould

$570 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Carvalho

Marcelo Carvalho

$488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Millet

Marcelo Millet

$673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Santtana

Marcelo Santtana

$654 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professora Delliana

Professora Delliana

$751 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jaques Wagner (PT) holds the strongest position for second place in the Bahia Senate race, where voters select two candidates and the top two win the seats, due to his consistent strength in second-preference voting and the PT's overall dominance in recent polling. The September 9 Real Time Big Data survey showed Rui Costa (PT) leading the consolidated vote at 26%, with Wagner at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%—all within the margin of error for the second spot. Wagner topped the explicit second-vote scenario at 20%, ahead of Coronel and Roma. Traders appear to price in PT organizational advantages and historical patterns in the state ahead of the October 4 first-round election, while lower probabilities for Roma, Coronel, and others reflect their more limited crossover support.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$31,342
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jaques Wagner (PT) holds the strongest position for second place in the Bahia Senate race, where voters select two candidates and the top two win the seats, due to his consistent strength in second-preference voting and the PT's overall dominance in recent polling. The September 9 Real Time Big Data survey showed Rui Costa (PT) leading the consolidated vote at 26%, with Wagner at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%—all within the margin of error for the second spot. Wagner topped the explicit second-vote scenario at 20%, ahead of Coronel and Roma. Traders appear to price in PT organizational advantages and historical patterns in the state ahead of the October 4 first-round election, while lower probabilities for Roma, Coronel, and others reflect their more limited crossover support.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$31,342
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Rui Costa bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Bahia die meisten Stimmen bekommen?

Wird Rui Costa bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Bahia die meisten Stimmen bekommen?

80%
Ja
icon for Wird Alexandre Curi bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Paraná die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Alexandre Curi bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Paraná die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

35%
Ja
icon for Wird Leila do Vôlei bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Leila do Vôlei bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

52%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jaques Wagner" mit 70%, gefolgt von „Angelo Coronel" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 70¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 70% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $31.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz" ist „Jaques Wagner" mit 70%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 70% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Angelo Coronel" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Bahia Senatswahl: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.