Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place in Maranhão’s October 4 Senate contest, reflecting her sustained lead in recent polling driven by decades of statewide name recognition as a four-time former governor. The latest Real Time Big Data survey (September 5–9) showed her at 18% with André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), Weverton Rocha (PDT), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered between 14–15%, all within the margin of error amid roughly 16% undecided or blank responses. Because voters may select two senators and the two highest totals win the seats, the fragmented field and split-ticket dynamics have kept individual vote shares tightly bunched. No major late-campaign shifts have emerged in the past month to widen the gap, leaving room for final-week turnout or alliance effects to reorder the top finishers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRoseana Sarney 54%
Lahesio Bonfim 15.8%
Weverton Rocha 7.6%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,507 Vol.
$26,507 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Roseana Sarney
54%
Lahesio Bonfim
16%
Weverton Rocha
8%
Fufuca
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Eliziane Gama
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Roseana Sarney 54%
Lahesio Bonfim 15.8%
Weverton Rocha 7.6%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,507 Vol.
$26,507 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Roseana Sarney
$16,998 Vol.
54%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,038 Vol.
16%
Weverton Rocha
$2,252 Vol.
8%
Fufuca
$527 Vol.
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$391 Vol.
<1%
Eliziane Gama
$395 Vol.
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$367 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$282 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$439 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place in Maranhão’s October 4 Senate contest, reflecting her sustained lead in recent polling driven by decades of statewide name recognition as a four-time former governor. The latest Real Time Big Data survey (September 5–9) showed her at 18% with André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), Weverton Rocha (PDT), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered between 14–15%, all within the margin of error amid roughly 16% undecided or blank responses. Because voters may select two senators and the two highest totals win the seats, the fragmented field and split-ticket dynamics have kept individual vote shares tightly bunched. No major late-campaign shifts have emerged in the past month to widen the gap, leaving room for final-week turnout or alliance effects to reorder the top finishers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volumen
$26,507Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place in Maranhão’s October 4 Senate contest, reflecting her sustained lead in recent polling driven by decades of statewide name recognition as a four-time former governor. The latest Real Time Big Data survey (September 5–9) showed her at 18% with André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), Weverton Rocha (PDT), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered between 14–15%, all within the margin of error amid roughly 16% undecided or blank responses. Because voters may select two senators and the two highest totals win the seats, the fragmented field and split-ticket dynamics have kept individual vote shares tightly bunched. No major late-campaign shifts have emerged in the past month to widen the gap, leaving room for final-week turnout or alliance effects to reorder the top finishers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$26,507Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place in Maranhão’s October 4 Senate contest, reflecting her sustained lead in recent polling driven by decades of statewide name recognition as a four-time former governor. The latest Real Time Big Data survey (September 5–9) showed her at 18% with André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), Weverton Rocha (PDT), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered between 14–15%, all within the margin of error amid roughly 16% undecided or blank responses. Because voters may select two senators and the two highest totals win the seats, the fragmented field and split-ticket dynamics have kept individual vote shares tightly bunched. No major late-campaign shifts have emerged in the past month to widen the gap, leaving room for final-week turnout or alliance effects to reorder the top finishers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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