Recent polling in Rondônia shows a competitive field for the two Senate seats, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) frequently leading overall while Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) remain closely bunched for the second position. Multiple surveys from August and early September place these candidates within a few points of each other in combined first- and second-choice tallies, reflecting overlapping voter bases in a state where PL-aligned figures hold strong regional support. Candidate interviews and campaign activity in the final weeks have focused on local issues such as mining regulation and federal policy stances, yet no decisive shifts have emerged to separate the contenders. The market's pricing reflects this polling clustering and the structural dynamics of voters selecting two names, leaving room for late movement from undecided or split-ticket preferences ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSílvia Cristina 42%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 40%
Mariana Carvalho 13.0%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 4.6%
$26,649 Vol.
$26,649 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Sílvia Cristina
42%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
40%
Mariana Carvalho
13%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
7%
Acir Gurgacz
4%
Aires Mota
3%
Luis Fernando
1%
Neidinha
1%
Luciana Oliveira
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
<1%
Sílvia Cristina 42%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 40%
Mariana Carvalho 13.0%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 4.6%
$26,649 Vol.
$26,649 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Sílvia Cristina
$15,075 Vol.
42%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$4,752 Vol.
40%
Mariana Carvalho
$1,592 Vol.
13%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$1,224 Vol.
7%
Acir Gurgacz
$932 Vol.
4%
Aires Mota
$686 Vol.
3%
Luis Fernando
$546 Vol.
1%
Neidinha
$375 Vol.
1%
Luciana Oliveira
$423 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia shows a competitive field for the two Senate seats, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) frequently leading overall while Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) remain closely bunched for the second position. Multiple surveys from August and early September place these candidates within a few points of each other in combined first- and second-choice tallies, reflecting overlapping voter bases in a state where PL-aligned figures hold strong regional support. Candidate interviews and campaign activity in the final weeks have focused on local issues such as mining regulation and federal policy stances, yet no decisive shifts have emerged to separate the contenders. The market's pricing reflects this polling clustering and the structural dynamics of voters selecting two names, leaving room for late movement from undecided or split-ticket preferences ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volumen
$26,649Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia shows a competitive field for the two Senate seats, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) frequently leading overall while Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) remain closely bunched for the second position. Multiple surveys from August and early September place these candidates within a few points of each other in combined first- and second-choice tallies, reflecting overlapping voter bases in a state where PL-aligned figures hold strong regional support. Candidate interviews and campaign activity in the final weeks have focused on local issues such as mining regulation and federal policy stances, yet no decisive shifts have emerged to separate the contenders. The market's pricing reflects this polling clustering and the structural dynamics of voters selecting two names, leaving room for late movement from undecided or split-ticket preferences ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$26,649Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Rondônia shows a competitive field for the two Senate seats, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) frequently leading overall while Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) remain closely bunched for the second position. Multiple surveys from August and early September place these candidates within a few points of each other in combined first- and second-choice tallies, reflecting overlapping voter bases in a state where PL-aligned figures hold strong regional support. Candidate interviews and campaign activity in the final weeks have focused on local issues such as mining regulation and federal policy stances, yet no decisive shifts have emerged to separate the contenders. The market's pricing reflects this polling clustering and the structural dynamics of voters selecting two names, leaving room for late movement from undecided or split-ticket preferences ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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