Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former Mato Grosso governor, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats. September surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados show him with 48-55% consolidated intentions (first and second preferences), well ahead of Janaina Riva (MDB) at 31-35% and José Medeiros (PL) around 23-26%, with Carlos Fávaro (PSD), Pedro Taques (PSB), and others trailing further. This positioning stems from Mendes' statewide name recognition and prior executive experience, producing stable frontrunner status with no major shifts in the past month. Market pricing aligns closely with these polling trends, reflecting trader assessments of his path to the top spot amid the two-vote system and limited time before balloting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMauro Mendes 72%
Janaina Riva 13.4%
Beny Godoy 3.7%
Pedro Taques 3.4%
$20,978 Vol.
$20,978 Vol.

Mauro Mendes
72%

Janaina Riva
13%

Beny Godoy
4%

Pedro Taques
3%

Coronel Darwin
3%

Jose Medeiros
3%

Galvan
2%

Fávaro
1%

Professor Nelson Ferreira
1%

Margareth Buzetti
1%
Mauro Mendes 72%
Janaina Riva 13.4%
Beny Godoy 3.7%
Pedro Taques 3.4%
$20,978 Vol.
$20,978 Vol.

Mauro Mendes
72%

Janaina Riva
13%

Beny Godoy
4%

Pedro Taques
3%

Coronel Darwin
3%

Jose Medeiros
3%

Galvan
2%

Fávaro
1%

Professor Nelson Ferreira
1%

Margareth Buzetti
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Abwickler
0x69c47de9d...Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former Mato Grosso governor, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats. September surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados show him with 48-55% consolidated intentions (first and second preferences), well ahead of Janaina Riva (MDB) at 31-35% and José Medeiros (PL) around 23-26%, with Carlos Fávaro (PSD), Pedro Taques (PSB), and others trailing further. This positioning stems from Mendes' statewide name recognition and prior executive experience, producing stable frontrunner status with no major shifts in the past month. Market pricing aligns closely with these polling trends, reflecting trader assessments of his path to the top spot amid the two-vote system and limited time before balloting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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