Trader sentiment for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI reflects uncertainty around services-sector expansion, with market-implied odds clustering in the low-to-mid 50s as the top outcomes. Recent August nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases have supported expectations for steady but moderating growth, while prior ISM readings near 52-53 underscore resilience despite elevated Treasury yields. Analysts highlight potential downside from softening consumer spending and upside from continued business activity gains. The closely contested probabilities emphasize swing factors such as the upcoming September employment report and any FOMC signals on monetary policy that could shift rate-cut expectations and broader economic momentum ahead of the PMI release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert53,0 bis 53,9 28%
54,0 bis 54,9 21%
55,0 bis 55,9 17.7%
57,0 bis 57,9 16.4%
$16,352 Vol.
$16,352 Vol.
<51,0
1%
51,0 bis 51,9
1%
52,0 bis 52,9
4%
53,0 bis 53,9
28%
54,0 bis 54,9
21%
55,0 bis 55,9
18%
56,0 bis 56,9
11%
57,0 bis 57,9
16%
58,0 bis 58,9
7%
59,0+
1%
53,0 bis 53,9 28%
54,0 bis 54,9 21%
55,0 bis 55,9 17.7%
57,0 bis 57,9 16.4%
$16,352 Vol.
$16,352 Vol.
<51,0
1%
51,0 bis 51,9
1%
52,0 bis 52,9
4%
53,0 bis 53,9
28%
54,0 bis 54,9
21%
55,0 bis 55,9
18%
56,0 bis 56,9
11%
57,0 bis 57,9
16%
58,0 bis 58,9
7%
59,0+
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI reflects uncertainty around services-sector expansion, with market-implied odds clustering in the low-to-mid 50s as the top outcomes. Recent August nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases have supported expectations for steady but moderating growth, while prior ISM readings near 52-53 underscore resilience despite elevated Treasury yields. Analysts highlight potential downside from softening consumer spending and upside from continued business activity gains. The closely contested probabilities emphasize swing factors such as the upcoming September employment report and any FOMC signals on monetary policy that could shift rate-cut expectations and broader economic momentum ahead of the PMI release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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