Recent strength in the 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.83–4.85% as of September 9–10, reflects upward pressure from Brent crude surpassing $100 per barrel amid Middle East supply risks, which has revived inflation concerns ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, combined with robust August payrolls, have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike to roughly 60%, while the Treasury’s $6 billion long-end buyback fell short of expectations and failed to ease yields. Strong corporate debt issuance tied to AI investments and fiscal supply dynamics have further lifted term premiums. Traders are watching Friday’s CPI release and the FOMC decision for clues on whether yields can retrace lower before month-end or remain anchored near multi-year highs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$18,809 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Below 4.76%
49%
Below 4.73%
33%
Below 4.70%
12%
Below 4.67%
22%
Below 4.64%
11%
Below 4.61%
5%
Below 4.56%
4%
Below 4.51%
5%
Below 4.45%
3%
$18,809 Vol.
Below 4.76%
$7,559 Vol.
49%
Below 4.73%
$1,122 Vol.
33%
Below 4.70%
$3,121 Vol.
12%
Below 4.67%
$195 Vol.
22%
Below 4.64%
$1,637 Vol.
11%
Below 4.61%
$2,027 Vol.
5%
Below 4.56%
$763 Vol.
4%
Below 4.51%
$436 Vol.
5%
Below 4.45%
$1,951 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strength in the 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.83–4.85% as of September 9–10, reflects upward pressure from Brent crude surpassing $100 per barrel amid Middle East supply risks, which has revived inflation concerns ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, combined with robust August payrolls, have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike to roughly 60%, while the Treasury’s $6 billion long-end buyback fell short of expectations and failed to ease yields. Strong corporate debt issuance tied to AI investments and fiscal supply dynamics have further lifted term premiums. Traders are watching Friday’s CPI release and the FOMC decision for clues on whether yields can retrace lower before month-end or remain anchored near multi-year highs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$18,809শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strength in the 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.83–4.85% as of September 9–10, reflects upward pressure from Brent crude surpassing $100 per barrel amid Middle East supply risks, which has revived inflation concerns ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, combined with robust August payrolls, have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike to roughly 60%, while the Treasury’s $6 billion long-end buyback fell short of expectations and failed to ease yields. Strong corporate debt issuance tied to AI investments and fiscal supply dynamics have further lifted term premiums. Traders are watching Friday’s CPI release and the FOMC decision for clues on whether yields can retrace lower before month-end or remain anchored near multi-year highs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$18,809শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent strength in the 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.83–4.85% as of September 9–10, reflects upward pressure from Brent crude surpassing $100 per barrel amid Middle East supply risks, which has revived inflation concerns ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, combined with robust August payrolls, have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike to roughly 60%, while the Treasury’s $6 billion long-end buyback fell short of expectations and failed to ease yields. Strong corporate debt issuance tied to AI investments and fiscal supply dynamics have further lifted term premiums. Traders are watching Friday’s CPI release and the FOMC decision for clues on whether yields can retrace lower before month-end or remain anchored near multi-year highs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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