Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated inflation concerns with core PCE near 3.7% and a potential September rate hike priced at roughly 60% odds, have driven the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28-5.30% as of September 9. Persistent sticky inflation, geopolitical oil-price risks, heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion, and robust AI-related capital demand have lifted long-end yields despite anchored long-term breakevens near 2.3%. Traders are watching the September FOMC, upcoming CPI and PPI releases, and Treasury auctions for resolution signals, with the market-implied path reflecting elevated term-premium compensation over historical averages.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
Dec 30, 2026
6.00%
7%
5.80%
8%
5.70%
29%
5.65%
34%
5.60%
38%
5.55%
44%
5.50%
52%
5.45%
57%
5.40%
72%
$5,098 Vol.
6.00%
$573 Vol.
7%
5.80%
$1,045 Vol.
8%
5.70%
$0 Vol.
29%
5.65%
$524 Vol.
34%
5.60%
$242 Vol.
38%
5.55%
$352 Vol.
44%
5.50%
$187 Vol.
52%
5.45%
$386 Vol.
57%
5.40%
$1,788 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated inflation concerns with core PCE near 3.7% and a potential September rate hike priced at roughly 60% odds, have driven the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28-5.30% as of September 9. Persistent sticky inflation, geopolitical oil-price risks, heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion, and robust AI-related capital demand have lifted long-end yields despite anchored long-term breakevens near 2.3%. Traders are watching the September FOMC, upcoming CPI and PPI releases, and Treasury auctions for resolution signals, with the market-implied path reflecting elevated term-premium compensation over historical averages.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$5,098শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated inflation concerns with core PCE near 3.7% and a potential September rate hike priced at roughly 60% odds, have driven the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28-5.30% as of September 9. Persistent sticky inflation, geopolitical oil-price risks, heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion, and robust AI-related capital demand have lifted long-end yields despite anchored long-term breakevens near 2.3%. Traders are watching the September FOMC, upcoming CPI and PPI releases, and Treasury auctions for resolution signals, with the market-implied path reflecting elevated term-premium compensation over historical averages.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$5,098শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated inflation concerns with core PCE near 3.7% and a potential September rate hike priced at roughly 60% odds, have driven the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28-5.30% as of September 9. Persistent sticky inflation, geopolitical oil-price risks, heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion, and robust AI-related capital demand have lifted long-end yields despite anchored long-term breakevens near 2.3%. Traders are watching the September FOMC, upcoming CPI and PPI releases, and Treasury auctions for resolution signals, with the market-implied path reflecting elevated term-premium compensation over historical averages.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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