Recent upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields, which reached 4.85% on September 9—the highest since late 2023—stems primarily from inflation concerns tied to Brent crude above $100 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions, alongside heavy corporate debt issuance and fiscal supply dynamics. Strong demand at the September 9 auction (bid-to-cover 2.71) provided limited relief but failed to reverse the trend, with yields up roughly 15 basis points month-to-date. Market-implied odds currently price about a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, while most economists expect policy to hold steady. These factors, combined with the proximity to month-end resolution, constrain the scope for significant further declines in yields through September.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$18,863 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Below 4.76%
51%
Below 4.73%
33%
Below 4.70%
13%
Below 4.67%
10%
Below 4.64%
12%
Below 4.61%
4%
Below 4.56%
4%
Below 4.51%
7%
Below 4.45%
3%
$18,863 Vol.
Below 4.76%
$7,559 Vol.
51%
Below 4.73%
$1,124 Vol.
33%
Below 4.70%
$3,141 Vol.
13%
Below 4.67%
$220 Vol.
10%
Below 4.64%
$1,638 Vol.
12%
Below 4.61%
$2,030 Vol.
4%
Below 4.56%
$763 Vol.
4%
Below 4.51%
$436 Vol.
7%
Below 4.45%
$1,953 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields, which reached 4.85% on September 9—the highest since late 2023—stems primarily from inflation concerns tied to Brent crude above $100 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions, alongside heavy corporate debt issuance and fiscal supply dynamics. Strong demand at the September 9 auction (bid-to-cover 2.71) provided limited relief but failed to reverse the trend, with yields up roughly 15 basis points month-to-date. Market-implied odds currently price about a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, while most economists expect policy to hold steady. These factors, combined with the proximity to month-end resolution, constrain the scope for significant further declines in yields through September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$18,863শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields, which reached 4.85% on September 9—the highest since late 2023—stems primarily from inflation concerns tied to Brent crude above $100 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions, alongside heavy corporate debt issuance and fiscal supply dynamics. Strong demand at the September 9 auction (bid-to-cover 2.71) provided limited relief but failed to reverse the trend, with yields up roughly 15 basis points month-to-date. Market-implied odds currently price about a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, while most economists expect policy to hold steady. These factors, combined with the proximity to month-end resolution, constrain the scope for significant further declines in yields through September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$18,863শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields, which reached 4.85% on September 9—the highest since late 2023—stems primarily from inflation concerns tied to Brent crude above $100 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions, alongside heavy corporate debt issuance and fiscal supply dynamics. Strong demand at the September 9 auction (bid-to-cover 2.71) provided limited relief but failed to reverse the trend, with yields up roughly 15 basis points month-to-date. Market-implied odds currently price about a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, while most economists expect policy to hold steady. These factors, combined with the proximity to month-end resolution, constrain the scope for significant further declines in yields through September.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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