The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.62% as of September 9, 2026, up from 4.57% the prior session and well above year-ago levels near 3.61%. Hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing persistent PCE inflation near 3.7% and AI-driven productivity gains that could lift the neutral rate, have driven market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike higher while boosting real yields. Sticky core inflation, resilient labor market data, and lingering effects from the Iran-related oil shock have further supported the move, outweighing any cooling in breakeven measures. Traders now focus on the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and September 16 FOMC decision with updated projections as key near-term catalysts that could shift the yield path for the remainder of the month.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
Sep 30, 2026
4.90%
14%
4.83%
20%
4.78%
29%
4.73%
38%
4.70%
48%
4.67%
56%
4.64%
69%
$8,702 Vol.
4.90%
$535 Vol.
14%
4.83%
$1,809 Vol.
20%
4.78%
$1,165 Vol.
29%
4.73%
$91 Vol.
38%
4.70%
$881 Vol.
48%
4.67%
$296 Vol.
56%
4.64%
$1,137 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.62% as of September 9, 2026, up from 4.57% the prior session and well above year-ago levels near 3.61%. Hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing persistent PCE inflation near 3.7% and AI-driven productivity gains that could lift the neutral rate, have driven market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike higher while boosting real yields. Sticky core inflation, resilient labor market data, and lingering effects from the Iran-related oil shock have further supported the move, outweighing any cooling in breakeven measures. Traders now focus on the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and September 16 FOMC decision with updated projections as key near-term catalysts that could shift the yield path for the remainder of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,702শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.62% as of September 9, 2026, up from 4.57% the prior session and well above year-ago levels near 3.61%. Hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing persistent PCE inflation near 3.7% and AI-driven productivity gains that could lift the neutral rate, have driven market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike higher while boosting real yields. Sticky core inflation, resilient labor market data, and lingering effects from the Iran-related oil shock have further supported the move, outweighing any cooling in breakeven measures. Traders now focus on the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and September 16 FOMC decision with updated projections as key near-term catalysts that could shift the yield path for the remainder of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$8,702শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.62% as of September 9, 2026, up from 4.57% the prior session and well above year-ago levels near 3.61%. Hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing persistent PCE inflation near 3.7% and AI-driven productivity gains that could lift the neutral rate, have driven market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike higher while boosting real yields. Sticky core inflation, resilient labor market data, and lingering effects from the Iran-related oil shock have further supported the move, outweighing any cooling in breakeven measures. Traders now focus on the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and September 16 FOMC decision with updated projections as key near-term catalysts that could shift the yield path for the remainder of the month.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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