Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, hotter-than-expected core CPI, and oil prices above $100 per barrel have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.96% as of September 11, 2026, its highest levels since 2023. Markets price roughly 70-90% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting amid resilient labor data and fiscal concerns, supporting a higher-for-longer policy path that limits near-term yield declines. Upcoming inflation releases and the central bank’s dot plot will shape expectations for the remainder of 2026, while any sustained easing in energy prices or growth slowdown could reopen room for lower yields.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$258,989 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Below 3.9%
14%
Below 3.8%
10%
Below 3.7%
7%
Below 3.6%
5%
Below 3.5%
6%
Below 3.0%
4%
Below 2.0%
2%
Below 1.0%
2%
$258,989 Vol.
Below 3.9%
$50,633 Vol.
14%
Below 3.8%
$56,017 Vol.
10%
Below 3.7%
$32,668 Vol.
7%
Below 3.6%
$6,185 Vol.
5%
Below 3.5%
$39,404 Vol.
6%
Below 3.0%
$1,187 Vol.
4%
Below 2.0%
$564 Vol.
2%
Below 1.0%
$40,572 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, hotter-than-expected core CPI, and oil prices above $100 per barrel have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.96% as of September 11, 2026, its highest levels since 2023. Markets price roughly 70-90% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting amid resilient labor data and fiscal concerns, supporting a higher-for-longer policy path that limits near-term yield declines. Upcoming inflation releases and the central bank’s dot plot will shape expectations for the remainder of 2026, while any sustained easing in energy prices or growth slowdown could reopen room for lower yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$258,989শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, hotter-than-expected core CPI, and oil prices above $100 per barrel have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.96% as of September 11, 2026, its highest levels since 2023. Markets price roughly 70-90% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting amid resilient labor data and fiscal concerns, supporting a higher-for-longer policy path that limits near-term yield declines. Upcoming inflation releases and the central bank’s dot plot will shape expectations for the remainder of 2026, while any sustained easing in energy prices or growth slowdown could reopen room for lower yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ভলিউম
$258,989শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, hotter-than-expected core CPI, and oil prices above $100 per barrel have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.96% as of September 11, 2026, its highest levels since 2023. Markets price roughly 70-90% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting amid resilient labor data and fiscal concerns, supporting a higher-for-longer policy path that limits near-term yield declines. Upcoming inflation releases and the central bank’s dot plot will shape expectations for the remainder of 2026, while any sustained easing in energy prices or growth slowdown could reopen room for lower yields.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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