**Geopolitical and regulatory barriers remain the dominant factor keeping trader consensus at 79.5% for "No" on Apple purchasing CXMT memory chips in 2026.** Apple explored sourcing advanced DRAM (including LPDDR5X) from the Chinese maker amid 2026 memory shortages and price spikes driven by AI demand, lobbying the Trump administration in June for assurances against Entity List placement given CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military-linked list. Those efforts stalled, with reports in August indicating CXMT declined discounted terms Apple sought while its capacity stayed largely committed through 2027 at high utilization. CXMT’s September 20 announcement of mass-produced fifth-generation (G5) DRAM with improved density has not altered the outlook, as political risks, reputational concerns from U.S. lawmakers, and Apple’s reliance on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron continue to outweigh diversification incentives for the remainder of the year. Key near-term catalysts include any new Commerce Department actions or confirmed supplier-list updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
21% 概率
$22,350 交易量
$22,350 交易量
2026-12-31
是
21% 概率
$22,350 交易量
$22,350 交易量
2026-12-31
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Geopolitical and regulatory barriers remain the dominant factor keeping trader consensus at 79.5% for "No" on Apple purchasing CXMT memory chips in 2026.** Apple explored sourcing advanced DRAM (including LPDDR5X) from the Chinese maker amid 2026 memory shortages and price spikes driven by AI demand, lobbying the Trump administration in June for assurances against Entity List placement given CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military-linked list. Those efforts stalled, with reports in August indicating CXMT declined discounted terms Apple sought while its capacity stayed largely committed through 2027 at high utilization. CXMT’s September 20 announcement of mass-produced fifth-generation (G5) DRAM with improved density has not altered the outlook, as political risks, reputational concerns from U.S. lawmakers, and Apple’s reliance on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron continue to outweigh diversification incentives for the remainder of the year. Key near-term catalysts include any new Commerce Department actions or confirmed supplier-list updates.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
交易量
$22,350结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETAccording to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Geopolitical and regulatory barriers remain the dominant factor keeping trader consensus at 79.5% for "No" on Apple purchasing CXMT memory chips in 2026.** Apple explored sourcing advanced DRAM (including LPDDR5X) from the Chinese maker amid 2026 memory shortages and price spikes driven by AI demand, lobbying the Trump administration in June for assurances against Entity List placement given CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military-linked list. Those efforts stalled, with reports in August indicating CXMT declined discounted terms Apple sought while its capacity stayed largely committed through 2027 at high utilization. CXMT’s September 20 announcement of mass-produced fifth-generation (G5) DRAM with improved density has not altered the outlook, as political risks, reputational concerns from U.S. lawmakers, and Apple’s reliance on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron continue to outweigh diversification incentives for the remainder of the year. Key near-term catalysts include any new Commerce Department actions or confirmed supplier-list updates.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$22,350结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET**Geopolitical and regulatory barriers remain the dominant factor keeping trader consensus at 79.5% for "No" on Apple purchasing CXMT memory chips in 2026.** Apple explored sourcing advanced DRAM (including LPDDR5X) from the Chinese maker amid 2026 memory shortages and price spikes driven by AI demand, lobbying the Trump administration in June for assurances against Entity List placement given CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military-linked list. Those efforts stalled, with reports in August indicating CXMT declined discounted terms Apple sought while its capacity stayed largely committed through 2027 at high utilization. CXMT’s September 20 announcement of mass-produced fifth-generation (G5) DRAM with improved density has not altered the outlook, as political risks, reputational concerns from U.S. lawmakers, and Apple’s reliance on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron continue to outweigh diversification incentives for the remainder of the year. Key near-term catalysts include any new Commerce Department actions or confirmed supplier-list updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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