Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding lead in the WI-05 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald, seeking a fourth term after winning 64.4% in the prior cycle, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.3 million, and an uncontested August primary. Democrat Andrew Beck, a product developer with limited campaign resources under $15,000, faces structural barriers in this suburban Milwaukee district encompassing Waukesha, Washington, and Jefferson counties. Trader consensus at 96.3% for Fitzgerald aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$59,331 交易量
$59,331 交易量
2026-11-03
斯科特·菲茨杰拉德（共和党）
96%
安德鲁·贝克（民主党）
4%
$59,331 交易量
$59,331 交易量
2026-11-03
斯科特·菲茨杰拉德（共和党）
$32,629 交易量
96%
安德鲁·贝克（民主党）
$26,702 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding lead in the WI-05 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald, seeking a fourth term after winning 64.4% in the prior cycle, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.3 million, and an uncontested August primary. Democrat Andrew Beck, a product developer with limited campaign resources under $15,000, faces structural barriers in this suburban Milwaukee district encompassing Waukesha, Washington, and Jefferson counties. Trader consensus at 96.3% for Fitzgerald aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$59,331结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding lead in the WI-05 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald, seeking a fourth term after winning 64.4% in the prior cycle, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.3 million, and an uncontested August primary. Democrat Andrew Beck, a product developer with limited campaign resources under $15,000, faces structural barriers in this suburban Milwaukee district encompassing Waukesha, Washington, and Jefferson counties. Trader consensus at 96.3% for Fitzgerald aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$59,331结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding lead in the WI-05 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald, seeking a fourth term after winning 64.4% in the prior cycle, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.3 million, and an uncontested August primary. Democrat Andrew Beck, a product developer with limited campaign resources under $15,000, faces structural barriers in this suburban Milwaukee district encompassing Waukesha, Washington, and Jefferson counties. Trader consensus at 96.3% for Fitzgerald aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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