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icon for 谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

icon for 谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

$83,971 交易量

2026-12-30
Polymarket

$83,971 交易量

Polymarket
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J.D.万斯

$1,835 交易量

90%

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皮特·布蒂吉格

$545 交易量

85%

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安迪·贝希尔

$240 交易量

69%

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罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$513 交易量

68%

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拉姆·伊曼纽尔

$310 交易量

67%

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加文·纽森

$5,665 交易量

65%

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乔恩·奥索夫

$2,203 交易量

65%

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泰德·克鲁兹

$3,198 交易量

65%

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杨安泽

$2,244 交易量

65%

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乔什·夏皮罗

$276 交易量

53%

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科里·布克

$991 交易量

57%

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马克·凯利

$501 交易量

59%

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亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

$3,669 交易量

47%

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韦斯·摩尔

$170 交易量

53%

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J.B.普利兹克

$332 交易量

50%

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贾里德·波利斯

$80 交易量

37%

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兰德·保罗

$121 交易量

35%

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拉斐尔·沃诺克

$130 交易量

35%

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马尔科·鲁比奥

$2,219 交易量

35%

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格伦·杨金

$468 交易量

33%

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凯蒂·布里特

$0 交易量

31%

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卡马拉·哈里斯

$2,889 交易量

30%

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埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克

$80 交易量

30%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$865 交易量

29%

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玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

$451 交易量

29%

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亨特·拜登

$4,318 交易量

27%

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尼基·黑利

$260 交易量

26%

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布赖恩·坎普

$262 交易量

26%

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约翰·费特曼

$1,824 交易量

25%

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克里斯蒂·诺姆

$0 交易量

25%

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拜伦·唐纳兹

$64 交易量

24%

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维韦克·拉马斯瓦米

$252 交易量

23%

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格雷格·阿博特

$0 交易量

23%

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菲尔·墨菲

$665 交易量

22%

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吉娜·雷蒙多

$1,241 交易量

21%

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唐·莱蒙

$20 交易量

21%

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金·卡戴珊

$4,522 交易量

19%

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史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$811 交易量

19%

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马克·库班

$221 交易量

19%

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图尔西·加巴德

$719 交易量

18%

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乔恩·斯图尔特

$1,753 交易量

18%

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史蒂夫·班农

$2,101 交易量

18%

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乔治·克鲁尼

$1,031 交易量

17%

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贝托·奥罗克

$0 交易量

16%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$0 交易量

16%

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约翰·图恩

$203 交易量

16%

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德韦恩·“巨石”·强森

$968 交易量

16%

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唐纳德·特朗普小唐

$667 交易量

16%

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罗伯特·F·肯尼迪 Jr.

$1,144 交易量

16%

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罗伊·库珀

$40 交易量

15%

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埃隆·马斯克

$2,046 交易量

15%

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米歇尔·奥巴马

$1,118 交易量

14%

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迈克·彭斯

$606 交易量

14%

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汤姆·布雷迪

$20 交易量

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利兹·切尼

$1,660 交易量

14%

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伯尼·桑德斯

$1,946 交易量

14%

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奥普拉·温弗瑞

$20 交易量

13%

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唐纳德·特朗普

$40 交易量

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塔克·卡尔森

$3,725 交易量

13%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$99 交易量

12%

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乔什·霍利

$3,650 交易量

12%

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马特·盖茨

$0 交易量

12%

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坎迪斯·欧文斯

$171 交易量

11%

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切尔西·克林顿

$104 交易量

11%

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佐赫兰·曼达尼

$1,503 交易量

11%

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蒂姆·沃尔兹

$4,335 交易量

10%

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MrBeast

$1,919 交易量

9%

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Erika Kirk

$2,561 交易量

9%

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伊万卡·特朗普

$140 交易量

4%

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希拉里·克林顿

$4,597 交易量

4%

icon for 巴拉克·奥巴马

巴拉克·奥巴马

$628 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential field remains largely undeclared as of September 2026, with no major-party contenders having formally launched campaigns. Potential Democratic figures including Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, along with Republican prospects such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, and Ron DeSantis, continue positioning through polling, donor outreach, and early-state travel while awaiting the November midterms. Recent statements from Newsom indicating he would not run against Harris and from Vance and Rubio signaling decisions only after the midterms underscore the cautious timeline. The midterms serve as the expected catalyst for announcements, which historically accelerate through 2027 ahead of the primaries, with only minor candidates having filed with the FEC so far.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$83,971
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential field remains largely undeclared as of September 2026, with no major-party contenders having formally launched campaigns. Potential Democratic figures including Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, along with Republican prospects such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, and Ron DeSantis, continue positioning through polling, donor outreach, and early-state travel while awaiting the November midterms. Recent statements from Newsom indicating he would not run against Harris and from Vance and Rubio signaling decisions only after the midterms underscore the cautious timeline. The midterms serve as the expected catalyst for announcements, which historically accelerate through 2027 ahead of the primaries, with only minor candidates having filed with the FEC so far.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$83,971
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 71+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"J.D.万斯",概率为 90%,其次是"皮特·布蒂吉格",概率为 85%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 90¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 90%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"已产生 $84K 的总交易量(自Aug 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 71+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"的当前领先者是"J.D.万斯",概率为 90%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 90%。紧随其后的结果是"皮特·布蒂吉格",概率为 85%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。