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icon for 谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？
政治·名人

谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？

icon for 谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？
政治·名人

谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？

$1,121,275 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,121,275 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 加文·纽森

加文·纽森

$78,944 交易量

13%

icon for 唐·莱蒙

唐·莱蒙

$1,887 交易量

9%

icon for 格伦·杨金

格伦·杨金

$6,109 交易量

9%

icon for 卡玛拉·哈里斯

卡玛拉·哈里斯

$57,598 交易量

9%

icon for 泰德·克鲁兹

泰德·克鲁兹

$16,109 交易量

8%

icon for 罗恩·德桑蒂斯

罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$2,498 交易量

8%

icon for 亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

$49,289 交易量

8%

icon for 斯蒂芬·A·史密斯

斯蒂芬·A·史密斯

$17,339 交易量

8%

icon for 拉斐尔·沃诺克

拉斐尔·沃诺克

$3,169 交易量

8%

icon for 马特·盖茨

马特·盖茨

$2,964 交易量

8%

icon for 玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

$20,479 交易量

8%

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普二世

唐纳德·特朗普二世

$7,484 交易量

7%

icon for J.B.普利茨克

J.B.普利茨克

$3,640 交易量

7%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$8,638 交易量

7%

icon for 亨特·拜登

亨特·拜登

$56,464 交易量

6%

icon for 安迪·贝希尔

安迪·贝希尔

$20,614 交易量

6%

icon for 科里·布克

科里·布克

$15,847 交易量

6%

icon for 马克·库班

马克·库班

$8,540 交易量

6%

icon for 布莱恩·坎普

布莱恩·坎普

$4,612 交易量

6%

icon for 乔治·克鲁尼

乔治·克鲁尼

$5,270 交易量

6%

icon for 拉姆·伊曼纽尔

拉姆·伊曼纽尔

$16,543 交易量

5%

icon for 乔什·沙皮罗

乔什·沙皮罗

$11,324 交易量

5%

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普

唐纳德·特朗普

$65,320 交易量

5%

icon for 乔恩·斯图尔特

乔恩·斯图尔特

$4,406 交易量

5%

icon for 皮特·布蒂吉格

皮特·布蒂吉格

$17,695 交易量

5%

icon for 贝托·奥洛克

贝托·奥洛克

$10,198 交易量

5%

icon for 格雷格·阿博特

格雷格·阿博特

$4,117 交易量

5%

icon for 兰德·保罗

兰德·保罗

$19,826 交易量

5%

icon for 格雷琴·惠特默

格雷琴·惠特默

$4,373 交易量

5%

icon for 坎迪斯·欧文斯

坎迪斯·欧文斯

$9,309 交易量

4%

icon for 吉娜·雷蒙多

吉娜·雷蒙多

$4,240 交易量

4%

icon for 克里斯蒂·诺姆

克里斯蒂·诺姆

$19,834 交易量

4%

icon for 妮基·黑利

妮基·黑利

$3,960 交易量

4%

icon for 史蒂夫·班农

史蒂夫·班农

$18,898 交易量

4%

icon for 约翰·图恩

约翰·图恩

$4,969 交易量

4%

icon for 埃丽卡·柯克

埃丽卡·柯克

$26,451 交易量

4%

icon for 米歇尔·奥巴马

米歇尔·奥巴马

$14,658 交易量

4%

icon for 马可·鲁比奥

马可·鲁比奥

$11,272 交易量

4%

icon for 伊丽莎白·斯特凡尼克

伊丽莎白·斯特凡尼克

$3,746 交易量

4%

icon for 小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪

小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪

$16,293 交易量

3%

icon for 奥普拉·温弗瑞

奥普拉·温弗瑞

$17,093 交易量

3%

icon for 韦斯·摩尔

韦斯·摩尔

$6,881 交易量

3%

icon for 佐赫兰·曼达尼

佐赫兰·曼达尼

$35,995 交易量

3%

icon for 马克·凯利

马克·凯利

$11,603 交易量

3%

icon for 伊万卡·特朗普

伊万卡·特朗普

$39,326 交易量

3%

icon for 汤姆·布雷迪

汤姆·布雷迪

$9,673 交易量

3%

icon for 乔恩·奥索夫

乔恩·奥索夫

$22,685 交易量

3%

icon for 乔什·霍利

乔什·霍利

$8,052 交易量

3%

icon for 利兹·切尼

利兹·切尼

$2,844 交易量

3%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$15,973 交易量

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,162 交易量

2%

icon for 迈克·彭斯

迈克·彭斯

$15,576 交易量

2%

icon for 塔克·卡尔森

塔克·卡尔森

$29,808 交易量

2%

icon for 德维恩·“岩石”·约翰逊

德维恩·“岩石”·约翰逊

$10,871 交易量

2%

icon for 贝拉克·奥巴马

贝拉克·奥巴马

$11,085 交易量

2%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$6,582 交易量

2%

icon for 图尔西·加巴德

图尔西·加巴德

$6,428 交易量

2%

icon for 约翰·费特曼

约翰·费特曼

$7,180 交易量

2%

icon for 伯尼·桑德斯

伯尼·桑德斯

$4,158 交易量

2%

icon for 菲尔·墨菲

菲尔·墨菲

$3,910 交易量

2%

icon for 蒂姆·沃尔兹

蒂姆·沃尔兹

$5,867 交易量

2%

icon for 贾里德·波利斯

贾里德·波利斯

$6,169 交易量

2%

icon for 凯蒂·布里特

凯蒂·布里特

$26,278 交易量

1%

icon for 埃隆·马斯克

埃隆·马斯克

$9,541 交易量

1%

icon for 拜伦·唐纳兹

拜伦·唐纳兹

$10,250 交易量

1%

icon for 罗伊·库珀

罗伊·库珀

$6,966 交易量

1%

icon for 切尔西·克林顿

切尔西·克林顿

$13,431 交易量

1%

icon for 希拉里·克林顿

希拉里·克林顿

$15,468 交易量

1%

icon for 萨拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

萨拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$8,050 交易量

1%

icon for 杨安泽

杨安泽

$14,494 交易量

1%

icon for J.D.万斯

J.D.万斯

$34,949 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major candidates have formally announced bids for the 2028 presidential nomination as of September 2026, though several high-profile figures are actively positioning through travel, fundraising, polling, and public statements. Potential Republican contenders including Vice President JD Vance, Senator Marco Rubio, Senator Ted Cruz, and Governor Ron DeSantis have signaled interest or begun groundwork, while Democratic names such as former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg lead early surveys and prediction markets without launching campaigns. A handful of lesser-known individuals have filed with the FEC or formed exploratory committees, but frontrunners appear to be awaiting the November 2026 midterms before formal announcements. The 22nd Amendment bars President Donald Trump from a third term, leaving an open field where early declarations remain rare before late 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,121,275
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

结算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major candidates have formally announced bids for the 2028 presidential nomination as of September 2026, though several high-profile figures are actively positioning through travel, fundraising, polling, and public statements. Potential Republican contenders including Vice President JD Vance, Senator Marco Rubio, Senator Ted Cruz, and Governor Ron DeSantis have signaled interest or begun groundwork, while Democratic names such as former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg lead early surveys and prediction markets without launching campaigns. A handful of lesser-known individuals have filed with the FEC or formed exploratory committees, but frontrunners appear to be awaiting the November 2026 midterms before formal announcements. The 22nd Amendment bars President Donald Trump from a third term, leaving an open field where early declarations remain rare before late 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,121,275
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

结算方

0x65070BE91...

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"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 71+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"加文·纽森"，概率为 13%，其次是"唐·莱蒙"，概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 13¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 13%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"已产生 $1.1 million 的总交易量（自Nov 19, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 71+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"的当前领先者是"加文·纽森"，概率为 13%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 13%。紧随其后的结果是"唐·莱蒙"，概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。