Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, her decisive primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote in June 2026, and substantial fundraising edge. Independent forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions, with limited volatility expected absent unforeseen developments such as a national political shift or late-cycle events that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,882 交易量
$45,882 交易量
2026-11-02
萨拉·埃尔弗雷斯（民主党）
96%
伯尼·弗劳尔斯 (共和党)
5%
$45,882 交易量
$45,882 交易量
2026-11-02
萨拉·埃尔弗雷斯（民主党）
$20,975 交易量
96%
伯尼·弗劳尔斯 (共和党)
$24,908 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, her decisive primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote in June 2026, and substantial fundraising edge. Independent forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions, with limited volatility expected absent unforeseen developments such as a national political shift or late-cycle events that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$45,882结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, her decisive primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote in June 2026, and substantial fundraising edge. Independent forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions, with limited volatility expected absent unforeseen developments such as a national political shift or late-cycle events that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,882结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETSarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, her decisive primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote in June 2026, and substantial fundraising edge. Independent forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions, with limited volatility expected absent unforeseen developments such as a national political shift or late-cycle events that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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