Incumbent Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 17th Congressional District race, with traders assigning him roughly 94 percent implied probability of victory over Republican challenger Tony Guy. The district’s northwestern Pittsburgh suburbs and exurbs have trended Democratic in recent cycles, reinforced by Deluzio’s incumbency, strong fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Guy, the Beaver County sheriff who prevailed in the May Republican primary, trails significantly in resources and visibility. With the November 3 general election approaching, the market consensus reflects these structural advantages while leaving modest room for late-cycle national shifts or unforeseen developments that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,532 交易量
$15,532 交易量
2026-11-03
克里斯·德卢齐奥（民主党）
94%
托尼·盖伊（共和党）
6%
$15,532 交易量
$15,532 交易量
2026-11-03
克里斯·德卢齐奥（民主党）
$2,326 交易量
94%
托尼·盖伊（共和党）
$13,206 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 17th Congressional District race, with traders assigning him roughly 94 percent implied probability of victory over Republican challenger Tony Guy. The district’s northwestern Pittsburgh suburbs and exurbs have trended Democratic in recent cycles, reinforced by Deluzio’s incumbency, strong fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Guy, the Beaver County sheriff who prevailed in the May Republican primary, trails significantly in resources and visibility. With the November 3 general election approaching, the market consensus reflects these structural advantages while leaving modest room for late-cycle national shifts or unforeseen developments that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$15,532结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 17th Congressional District race, with traders assigning him roughly 94 percent implied probability of victory over Republican challenger Tony Guy. The district’s northwestern Pittsburgh suburbs and exurbs have trended Democratic in recent cycles, reinforced by Deluzio’s incumbency, strong fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Guy, the Beaver County sheriff who prevailed in the May Republican primary, trails significantly in resources and visibility. With the November 3 general election approaching, the market consensus reflects these structural advantages while leaving modest room for late-cycle national shifts or unforeseen developments that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,532结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETIncumbent Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 17th Congressional District race, with traders assigning him roughly 94 percent implied probability of victory over Republican challenger Tony Guy. The district’s northwestern Pittsburgh suburbs and exurbs have trended Democratic in recent cycles, reinforced by Deluzio’s incumbency, strong fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Guy, the Beaver County sheriff who prevailed in the May Republican primary, trails significantly in resources and visibility. With the November 3 general election approaching, the market consensus reflects these structural advantages while leaving modest room for late-cycle national shifts or unforeseen developments that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题