Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in the PA-01 House race due to his established fundraising advantage of roughly $6.7 million compared with Democratic challenger Bob Harvie's $2 million, combined with his record of winning the swing Bucks County and Montgomery County district by double digits in prior cycles. Recent internal polls from August 2026 show the candidates statistically tied or within a few points, reflecting a competitive environment ahead of the November 3 general election. Developments including debate challenges, attacks over data center policy and corporate contributions, and negative advertising have kept the contest in focus, though Fitzpatrick's incumbency and primary unopposed status continue to anchor trader probabilities at current levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
布赖恩·菲茨帕特里克（共和党）
57%
鲍勃·哈维（民主党）
39%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
布赖恩·菲茨帕特里克（共和党）
$5,626 交易量
57%
鲍勃·哈维（民主党）
$3,783 交易量
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in the PA-01 House race due to his established fundraising advantage of roughly $6.7 million compared with Democratic challenger Bob Harvie's $2 million, combined with his record of winning the swing Bucks County and Montgomery County district by double digits in prior cycles. Recent internal polls from August 2026 show the candidates statistically tied or within a few points, reflecting a competitive environment ahead of the November 3 general election. Developments including debate challenges, attacks over data center policy and corporate contributions, and negative advertising have kept the contest in focus, though Fitzpatrick's incumbency and primary unopposed status continue to anchor trader probabilities at current levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$9,409结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in the PA-01 House race due to his established fundraising advantage of roughly $6.7 million compared with Democratic challenger Bob Harvie's $2 million, combined with his record of winning the swing Bucks County and Montgomery County district by double digits in prior cycles. Recent internal polls from August 2026 show the candidates statistically tied or within a few points, reflecting a competitive environment ahead of the November 3 general election. Developments including debate challenges, attacks over data center policy and corporate contributions, and negative advertising have kept the contest in focus, though Fitzpatrick's incumbency and primary unopposed status continue to anchor trader probabilities at current levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,409结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETIncumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in the PA-01 House race due to his established fundraising advantage of roughly $6.7 million compared with Democratic challenger Bob Harvie's $2 million, combined with his record of winning the swing Bucks County and Montgomery County district by double digits in prior cycles. Recent internal polls from August 2026 show the candidates statistically tied or within a few points, reflecting a competitive environment ahead of the November 3 general election. Developments including debate challenges, attacks over data center policy and corporate contributions, and negative advertising have kept the contest in focus, though Fitzpatrick's incumbency and primary unopposed status continue to anchor trader probabilities at current levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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