OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by strategic commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins the balanced 50% market odds for reaching $1 trillion in 2026. Rapid revenue scaling to roughly $2 billion monthly, enterprise adoption exceeding 40% of sales, and a confidential June S-1 filing signal strong momentum, yet CFO signals favoring a 2027 IPO over a 2026 debut, persistent GAAP losses projected near $62 billion, and secondary marks fluctuating between $475–894 billion create offsetting caution. Upcoming catalysts include any GPT-5 or successor model benchmarks, Q4 revenue disclosures, and clarity on listing timing that could shift the closely contested trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年OpenAI估值超过1万$ ？
2026年OpenAI估值超过1万$ ？
是
50% 概率
$26,947 交易量
$26,947 交易量
2026-12-31
是
50% 概率
$26,947 交易量
$26,947 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by strategic commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins the balanced 50% market odds for reaching $1 trillion in 2026. Rapid revenue scaling to roughly $2 billion monthly, enterprise adoption exceeding 40% of sales, and a confidential June S-1 filing signal strong momentum, yet CFO signals favoring a 2027 IPO over a 2026 debut, persistent GAAP losses projected near $62 billion, and secondary marks fluctuating between $475–894 billion create offsetting caution. Upcoming catalysts include any GPT-5 or successor model benchmarks, Q4 revenue disclosures, and clarity on listing timing that could shift the closely contested trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
交易量
$26,947结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by strategic commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins the balanced 50% market odds for reaching $1 trillion in 2026. Rapid revenue scaling to roughly $2 billion monthly, enterprise adoption exceeding 40% of sales, and a confidential June S-1 filing signal strong momentum, yet CFO signals favoring a 2027 IPO over a 2026 debut, persistent GAAP losses projected near $62 billion, and secondary marks fluctuating between $475–894 billion create offsetting caution. Upcoming catalysts include any GPT-5 or successor model benchmarks, Q4 revenue disclosures, and clarity on listing timing that could shift the closely contested trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,947结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETOpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by strategic commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins the balanced 50% market odds for reaching $1 trillion in 2026. Rapid revenue scaling to roughly $2 billion monthly, enterprise adoption exceeding 40% of sales, and a confidential June S-1 filing signal strong momentum, yet CFO signals favoring a 2027 IPO over a 2026 debut, persistent GAAP losses projected near $62 billion, and secondary marks fluctuating between $475–894 billion create offsetting caution. Upcoming catalysts include any GPT-5 or successor model benchmarks, Q4 revenue disclosures, and clarity on listing timing that could shift the closely contested trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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