Recent OpenAI developments, including CEO Sam Altman's September 12 confirmation that a 2026 IPO is off the table due to AI safety priorities, have tempered near-term listing expectations while revenue momentum supports elevated valuations. The company reached a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate by August 2026—nearly doubling from late 2025—driven by enterprise adoption and subscriptions, though 2025 operating losses exceeded $20 billion amid heavy compute spending. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities across $1.25T–$2.0T buckets highlights uncertainty over margin expansion, infrastructure costs, and whether public markets will award a premium to the prior $852 billion private mark or enforce tighter multiples. Key catalysts ahead include 2027 timing clarity and any updates on regulatory or safety coordination.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 19.4%
$2.5T+ 16.8%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.7%
$137,801 交易量
$137,801 交易量
2027-06-30
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
12%
$1.25T–$1.5T
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 19.4%
$2.5T+ 16.8%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.7%
$137,801 交易量
$137,801 交易量
2027-06-30
<$1T
$22,048 交易量
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$17,080 交易量
12%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$7,730 交易量
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,293 交易量
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,600 交易量
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,616 交易量
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,484 交易量
7%
$2.5T+
$58,950 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent OpenAI developments, including CEO Sam Altman's September 12 confirmation that a 2026 IPO is off the table due to AI safety priorities, have tempered near-term listing expectations while revenue momentum supports elevated valuations. The company reached a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate by August 2026—nearly doubling from late 2025—driven by enterprise adoption and subscriptions, though 2025 operating losses exceeded $20 billion amid heavy compute spending. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities across $1.25T–$2.0T buckets highlights uncertainty over margin expansion, infrastructure costs, and whether public markets will award a premium to the prior $852 billion private mark or enforce tighter multiples. Key catalysts ahead include 2027 timing clarity and any updates on regulatory or safety coordination.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$137,801结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent OpenAI developments, including CEO Sam Altman's September 12 confirmation that a 2026 IPO is off the table due to AI safety priorities, have tempered near-term listing expectations while revenue momentum supports elevated valuations. The company reached a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate by August 2026—nearly doubling from late 2025—driven by enterprise adoption and subscriptions, though 2025 operating losses exceeded $20 billion amid heavy compute spending. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities across $1.25T–$2.0T buckets highlights uncertainty over margin expansion, infrastructure costs, and whether public markets will award a premium to the prior $852 billion private mark or enforce tighter multiples. Key catalysts ahead include 2027 timing clarity and any updates on regulatory or safety coordination.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$137,801结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRecent OpenAI developments, including CEO Sam Altman's September 12 confirmation that a 2026 IPO is off the table due to AI safety priorities, have tempered near-term listing expectations while revenue momentum supports elevated valuations. The company reached a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate by August 2026—nearly doubling from late 2025—driven by enterprise adoption and subscriptions, though 2025 operating losses exceeded $20 billion amid heavy compute spending. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities across $1.25T–$2.0T buckets highlights uncertainty over margin expansion, infrastructure costs, and whether public markets will award a premium to the prior $852 billion private mark or enforce tighter multiples. Key catalysts ahead include 2027 timing clarity and any updates on regulatory or safety coordination.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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