Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his strong primary performance. Emmer secured the GOP nomination with over 80 percent of the vote in August after facing limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed on the other side. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and prior results where Republican presidential candidates carried it by double-digit margins. Emmer’s substantial fundraising edge and role as House Majority Whip further reinforce trader consensus around his high implied probability of victory, though general-election turnout and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could still influence the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,891 交易量
$41,891 交易量
2026-11-02
汤姆·埃默（共和党）
90%
道格·查平（民主党）
10%
$41,891 交易量
$41,891 交易量
2026-11-02
汤姆·埃默（共和党）
$23,690 交易量
90%
道格·查平（民主党）
$18,201 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his strong primary performance. Emmer secured the GOP nomination with over 80 percent of the vote in August after facing limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed on the other side. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and prior results where Republican presidential candidates carried it by double-digit margins. Emmer’s substantial fundraising edge and role as House Majority Whip further reinforce trader consensus around his high implied probability of victory, though general-election turnout and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$41,891结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his strong primary performance. Emmer secured the GOP nomination with over 80 percent of the vote in August after facing limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed on the other side. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and prior results where Republican presidential candidates carried it by double-digit margins. Emmer’s substantial fundraising edge and role as House Majority Whip further reinforce trader consensus around his high implied probability of victory, though general-election turnout and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,891结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his strong primary performance. Emmer secured the GOP nomination with over 80 percent of the vote in August after facing limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed on the other side. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and prior results where Republican presidential candidates carried it by double-digit margins. Emmer’s substantial fundraising edge and role as House Majority Whip further reinforce trader consensus around his high implied probability of victory, though general-election turnout and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could still influence the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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