Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary, defeating multiple challengers in an open seat previously held by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County suburbs, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. Moss benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, established state legislative experience as Senate speaker pro tempore, and endorsements from Michigan Democratic leaders. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Minor-party candidates also appear on the November ballot. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to a wide margin consistent with trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$79,162 交易量
$79,162 交易量
2026-11-02
Jeremy Moss（民主党）
96%
伊桑·贝克（共和党）
3%
$79,162 交易量
$79,162 交易量
2026-11-02
Jeremy Moss（民主党）
$56,609 交易量
96%
伊桑·贝克（共和党）
$22,552 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary, defeating multiple challengers in an open seat previously held by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County suburbs, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. Moss benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, established state legislative experience as Senate speaker pro tempore, and endorsements from Michigan Democratic leaders. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Minor-party candidates also appear on the November ballot. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to a wide margin consistent with trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$79,162结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary, defeating multiple challengers in an open seat previously held by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County suburbs, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. Moss benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, established state legislative experience as Senate speaker pro tempore, and endorsements from Michigan Democratic leaders. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Minor-party candidates also appear on the November ballot. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to a wide margin consistent with trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$79,162结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETJeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary, defeating multiple challengers in an open seat previously held by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County suburbs, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. Moss benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, established state legislative experience as Senate speaker pro tempore, and endorsements from Michigan Democratic leaders. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Minor-party candidates also appear on the November ballot. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to a wide margin consistent with trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题