Rashida Tlaib’s position as the heavy favorite in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, with a partisan voter index of D+21. She secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district’s consistent Democratic margins near 70 percent in recent cycles, including Tlaib’s 2024 general election performance, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, significant health development, or unusually low turnout among core Democratic voters ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,234 交易量
$39,234 交易量
2026-11-02
拉希达·特莱布（民主党）
96%
詹姆斯·胡珀（共和党）
1%
$39,234 交易量
$39,234 交易量
2026-11-02
拉希达·特莱布（民主党）
$21,751 交易量
96%
詹姆斯·胡珀（共和党）
$17,483 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib’s position as the heavy favorite in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, with a partisan voter index of D+21. She secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district’s consistent Democratic margins near 70 percent in recent cycles, including Tlaib’s 2024 general election performance, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, significant health development, or unusually low turnout among core Democratic voters ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$39,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib’s position as the heavy favorite in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, with a partisan voter index of D+21. She secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district’s consistent Democratic margins near 70 percent in recent cycles, including Tlaib’s 2024 general election performance, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, significant health development, or unusually low turnout among core Democratic voters ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRashida Tlaib’s position as the heavy favorite in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, with a partisan voter index of D+21. She secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district’s consistent Democratic margins near 70 percent in recent cycles, including Tlaib’s 2024 general election performance, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, significant health development, or unusually low turnout among core Democratic voters ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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