Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate contest due to consistent leads in multiple 2026 polls, including recent September surveys showing him at 30-37% on the first vote. His broad regional support across interior strongholds, alliances with local mayors and legislators, and partnership with running mate Capitão Contar (PL) have consolidated center-right backing. Nelsinho Trad's decision to serve as Azambuja's alternate rather than compete independently further narrows the field. Lower-polling candidates such as Vander Loubet (PT) and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) trail significantly, while the market's elevated probability for Azambuja reflects trader assessment of these structural advantages ahead of voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾 85%
卡皮唐·康塔 13%
瓦尔特·达·科马格兰 <1%
Luiz Lemes <1%
$18,515 交易量
$18,515 交易量
2026-10-04
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
85%
卡皮唐·康塔
13%
瓦尔特·达·科马格兰
1%
Luiz Lemes
1%
Valderi Garcia
1%
索拉娅
1%
贝托·杜·莫维门图
<1%
罗伯托·大城
<1%
范德·卢贝特
<1%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥
<1%
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾 85%
卡皮唐·康塔 13%
瓦尔特·达·科马格兰 <1%
Luiz Lemes <1%
$18,515 交易量
$18,515 交易量
2026-10-04
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
$11,293 交易量
85%
卡皮唐·康塔
$2,531 交易量
13%
瓦尔特·达·科马格兰
$659 交易量
1%
Luiz Lemes
$591 交易量
1%
Valderi Garcia
$609 交易量
1%
索拉娅
$577 交易量
1%
贝托·杜·莫维门图
$582 交易量
<1%
罗伯托·大城
$656 交易量
<1%
范德·卢贝特
$550 交易量
<1%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥
$468 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate contest due to consistent leads in multiple 2026 polls, including recent September surveys showing him at 30-37% on the first vote. His broad regional support across interior strongholds, alliances with local mayors and legislators, and partnership with running mate Capitão Contar (PL) have consolidated center-right backing. Nelsinho Trad's decision to serve as Azambuja's alternate rather than compete independently further narrows the field. Lower-polling candidates such as Vander Loubet (PT) and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) trail significantly, while the market's elevated probability for Azambuja reflects trader assessment of these structural advantages ahead of voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$18,515结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate contest due to consistent leads in multiple 2026 polls, including recent September surveys showing him at 30-37% on the first vote. His broad regional support across interior strongholds, alliances with local mayors and legislators, and partnership with running mate Capitão Contar (PL) have consolidated center-right backing. Nelsinho Trad's decision to serve as Azambuja's alternate rather than compete independently further narrows the field. Lower-polling candidates such as Vander Loubet (PT) and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) trail significantly, while the market's elevated probability for Azambuja reflects trader assessment of these structural advantages ahead of voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$18,515结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETReinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate contest due to consistent leads in multiple 2026 polls, including recent September surveys showing him at 30-37% on the first vote. His broad regional support across interior strongholds, alliances with local mayors and legislators, and partnership with running mate Capitão Contar (PL) have consolidated center-right backing. Nelsinho Trad's decision to serve as Azambuja's alternate rather than compete independently further narrows the field. Lower-polling candidates such as Vander Loubet (PT) and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) trail significantly, while the market's elevated probability for Azambuja reflects trader assessment of these structural advantages ahead of voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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