Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, IPPI, and others shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a consistent lead for one Senate seat in Maranhão, while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain tightly bunched for second place within margins of error. Combined first- and second-choice intentions in late August and early September surveys place these contenders between roughly 7% and 23%, reflecting a fragmented electorate and high spontaneous indecision rates above 80% in some samples. Regional strengths, such as Sarney and Gama’s ties to São Luís versus Rocha and Bonfim’s broader state outreach, along with ongoing free electoral advertising and alliance formations ahead of the October 4 vote, continue to shape the close contest for the second vacancy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Weverton Rocha 35%
Fufuca 28%
Lahesio Bonfim 23.4%
Roseana Sarney 16%
$34,746 交易量
$34,746 交易量
2026-10-04
Weverton Rocha
35%
Fufuca
28%
Lahesio Bonfim
23%
Roseana Sarney
16%
Eliziane Gama
5%
Wilson Leite
1%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 35%
Fufuca 28%
Lahesio Bonfim 23.4%
Roseana Sarney 16%
$34,746 交易量
$34,746 交易量
2026-10-04
Weverton Rocha
$12,921 交易量
35%
Fufuca
$5,692 交易量
28%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,221 交易量
23%
Roseana Sarney
$8,242 交易量
16%
Eliziane Gama
$1,616 交易量
5%
Wilson Leite
$606 交易量
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$594 交易量
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$661 交易量
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$967 交易量
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$519 交易量
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, IPPI, and others shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a consistent lead for one Senate seat in Maranhão, while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain tightly bunched for second place within margins of error. Combined first- and second-choice intentions in late August and early September surveys place these contenders between roughly 7% and 23%, reflecting a fragmented electorate and high spontaneous indecision rates above 80% in some samples. Regional strengths, such as Sarney and Gama’s ties to São Luís versus Rocha and Bonfim’s broader state outreach, along with ongoing free electoral advertising and alliance formations ahead of the October 4 vote, continue to shape the close contest for the second vacancy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
交易量
$34,746结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, IPPI, and others shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a consistent lead for one Senate seat in Maranhão, while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain tightly bunched for second place within margins of error. Combined first- and second-choice intentions in late August and early September surveys place these contenders between roughly 7% and 23%, reflecting a fragmented electorate and high spontaneous indecision rates above 80% in some samples. Regional strengths, such as Sarney and Gama’s ties to São Luís versus Rocha and Bonfim’s broader state outreach, along with ongoing free electoral advertising and alliance formations ahead of the October 4 vote, continue to shape the close contest for the second vacancy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$34,746结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRecent polling from institutes including Quaest, IPPI, and others shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a consistent lead for one Senate seat in Maranhão, while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain tightly bunched for second place within margins of error. Combined first- and second-choice intentions in late August and early September surveys place these contenders between roughly 7% and 23%, reflecting a fragmented electorate and high spontaneous indecision rates above 80% in some samples. Regional strengths, such as Sarney and Gama’s ties to São Luís versus Rocha and Bonfim’s broader state outreach, along with ongoing free electoral advertising and alliance formations ahead of the October 4 vote, continue to shape the close contest for the second vacancy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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