Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 represents the dominant factor behind trader consensus on this outcome. With the current slim GOP majority setting the legislative agenda and determining which measures reach the floor, any impeachment resolution would require substantial bipartisan support that has not materialized. Midterm elections scheduled for November fall after the resolution window, so even a projected Democratic takeover would not alter House composition until January 2027. Isolated resolutions introduced by individual Democrats have advanced no further under existing procedural rules. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain narrow, such as an unforeseen bipartisan coalition emerging before year-end or a sudden institutional crisis prompting cross-aisle action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
2% 概率
$1,020,443 交易量
$1,020,443 交易量
2026-12-30
赚 3.25% 收益
是
2% 概率
$1,020,443 交易量
$1,020,443 交易量
2026-12-30
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 represents the dominant factor behind trader consensus on this outcome. With the current slim GOP majority setting the legislative agenda and determining which measures reach the floor, any impeachment resolution would require substantial bipartisan support that has not materialized. Midterm elections scheduled for November fall after the resolution window, so even a projected Democratic takeover would not alter House composition until January 2027. Isolated resolutions introduced by individual Democrats have advanced no further under existing procedural rules. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain narrow, such as an unforeseen bipartisan coalition emerging before year-end or a sudden institutional crisis prompting cross-aisle action.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,020,443结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 represents the dominant factor behind trader consensus on this outcome. With the current slim GOP majority setting the legislative agenda and determining which measures reach the floor, any impeachment resolution would require substantial bipartisan support that has not materialized. Midterm elections scheduled for November fall after the resolution window, so even a projected Democratic takeover would not alter House composition until January 2027. Isolated resolutions introduced by individual Democrats have advanced no further under existing procedural rules. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain narrow, such as an unforeseen bipartisan coalition emerging before year-end or a sudden institutional crisis prompting cross-aisle action.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$1,020,443结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETRepublican control of the House through the end of 2026 represents the dominant factor behind trader consensus on this outcome. With the current slim GOP majority setting the legislative agenda and determining which measures reach the floor, any impeachment resolution would require substantial bipartisan support that has not materialized. Midterm elections scheduled for November fall after the resolution window, so even a projected Democratic takeover would not alter House composition until January 2027. Isolated resolutions introduced by individual Democrats have advanced no further under existing procedural rules. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain narrow, such as an unforeseen bipartisan coalition emerging before year-end or a sudden institutional crisis prompting cross-aisle action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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